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Is the Bottom in for Banks?

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Published: Thursday, 19 Apr 2012 | 2:15 PM ET
Lee Brodie By:

Producer

In the wake of relatively strong results from Morgan Stanley and Bank of America, is it safe to say financials have put in a bottom?

Bank bulls seem to have every reason to run.

Although Morgan Stanley posted an expected loss, results were better than expected. And notably, their trading business was particularly strong on both a year-over-year and quarterly basis. In the same period rival Goldman Sachs reported weaker trading results.

Meanwhile, Bank of America also beat the Street with CEO Bryan Moynihan saying the mortgage business had reached a bottom and was ready for an upturn.

Best Plays in Financials
Analyzing the earnings data from Bank of America, with David George, Robert W. Baird, senior research analyst.

Considering BofA and Morgan Stanley have generated so much skepticism, do their better than expected results signal the worst is over?

“Probably not,” says trader Guy Adami. “I don’t think the bottom is in. However he says if you’re a trader, there’s probably a short-term play on the long side, but with tight stops.”

Stephanie Link doesn’t seem to like these banks, even as a trade. “I think both banks still have issues,” she says. “Morgan’s returns were depressed and loan growth fell at BofA.” Neither of those developments are bullish.

Trader Simon Baker largely agrees. “There are a whole lot of headwinds for banks,” he says, such as financial regulation and renewed issues in Europe.

If you’re a long-term investor, Mike Murphy says stay away. “There are better places to put money to work.” However if you’re a trader, he says, “I think you can look at BofA around $9 with a stop around $8.”

If you’re a long-term investor and you must be in banks, trader Guy Adami adds the best play is USB . “Even at current levels, that’s the buy.”

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Trader disclosure: On Apr 19, 2012, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s "Fast Money" were owned by the "Fast Money" traders; Guy Adami is long C; Guy Adami is long GS; Guy Adami is long INTC; Guy Adami is long AGU; Guy Adami is long MSFT; Guy Adami is long NUE; Guy Adami is long BTU; Stephanie Link is long AAPL; Stephanie Link is long JPM; Stephanie Link is long IBM; Stephanie Link is long FCX; Stephanie Link is long IBM; Simon Baker’s firm owns AAPL; Simon Baker’s firm owns BAC; Simon Baker’s firm owns GS; Simon Baker’s firm owns JPM; Simon Baker’s firm owns GDX; Simon Baker’s firm owns MS; Simon Baker’s firm owns NFLX; Simon Baker’s firm owns GLD; Simon Baker’s firm owns XLF; Simon Baker’s firm owns IBM; Simon Baker’s firm owns WMT; Simon Baker’s firm owns JOYG; Simon Baker’s firm owns ADSK; Simon Baker’s firm owns DELL; Simon Baker’s firm owns IBM; Simon Baker’s firm owns MSFT; Simon Baker’s firm owns KEY; Simon Baker’s firm owns QCOM

For Rob Breza
RBC Capital Markets, LLC makes a market in the securities of Microsoft Corporation and may act as principal with regard to sales or purchases of this security; MSFT
A member company of RBC Capital Markets or one of its affiliates received compensation for products or services other than investment banking services from Microsoft Corporation during the past 12 months. During this time, a member company of RBC Capital Markets or one of its affiliates provided non-securities services to MSFT
RBC Capital Markets has provided Microsoft Corporation with non-securities services in the past 12 months: MSFT

For David George
Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated makes a market in the securities of BAC.
Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated and/or its affiliates have received investment banking compensation from Bank of America in the past 12 months: BAC

For Glen Yeung
Citigroup Global Markets Inc. and/or its affiliates has a significant financial interest in relation to QCOM
Citigroup Global Markets Inc. and/or its affiliates has a significant financial interest in relation to BRCM
For securities recommended in the Product in which the Firm is not a market maker, the Firm is a liquidity provider in the issuers' financial instruments and may act as principal in connection with such transactions. The Firm is a regular issuer of traded financial instruments linked to securities that may have been recommended in the Product. The Firm regularly trades in the securities of the issuer(s) discussed in the Product. The Firm may engage in securities transactions in a manner inconsistent with the Product and, with respect to securities covered by the Product, will buy or sell from customers on a principal basis.

For Gene Munster
Nothing to disclose

CNBC.com with wires.

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In the wake of relatively strong results from Morgan Stanley and Bank of America, is it safe to say financials have put in a bottom?
  Price   Change %Change
BAC ---
GS ---
MS ---
USB ---

   
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