In this case, if GDP growth comes in over 2.5%, signaling a bullish outlook for the economy, Busch thinks that will hurt the New Zealand dollar. Central bankers there just issued a warning about the currency's excessive strength, and they might cut interest rates if they think it is poised to rise further on an improving U.S. economy.
On the other hand, GDP growth under 2% could spur the Fed to action, Busch says. "it's QE3, and we want to buy a country's currency that's really going to see growth go up with the United States, and that's Mexico's."
If the second scenario becomes reality, Busch wants to sell the dollar against the Mexican peso at 13.25, setting a stop at 13.30 and a target of 13.03.
You can watch the discussion on the video.
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