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  Wednesday, 18 Dec 2013 | 8:04 PM ET

Wits beat out speed in S&P's post-taper surge

Posted By: Alex Rosenberg

Sometimes speed alone doesn't cut it.

When the Fed announced Wednesday that it would begin to taper its asset purchases, stocks momentarily fell before surging back, with the S&P finishing up 1.7 percent.

»Read more
  Wednesday, 18 Dec 2013 | 8:44 AM ET

The Fed will never end QE: Marc 'Dr. Doom' Faber

Posted By: Alex Rosenberg

When the Federal Reserve announces its next move on Wednesday, some expect it to reduce its $85 billion monthly bond-buying program, targeting an eventual end to quantitative easing in late 2014. Others expect the Fed to begin to reduce the program in early 2014, or to finish it off by 2015. But Marc Faber has a different take altogether .

"The Fed will never end QE for good," the editor and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report said Tuesday on CNBC's "Futures Now." "They will continue because these programs, once they're introduced, usually keep on going."

The Fed will announce its decision at 2 p.m. EST on Wednesday, and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will follow that up with a 2:30 p.m. news conference. Expectations for the meeting are mixed, but more that 50 percent of Wall Streeters expect the Fed to taper its QE program in either December or January, according to the CNBC Fed Survey. As economic data have improved, many investors are guessing that the Fed no longer considers QE to be as vital as before.

(Read more: Fed taper expected sooner: CNBC survey)

But Faber said the good times cannot last.

"The economic recovery, or so-called recovery, by June of next year, will be in the fifth year of the recovery," Faber said. "So at some stage the economy will weaken again, and at that point, the Fed will argue, 'Well, we haven't done enough, we have to do more.'"

»Read more
  Tuesday, 17 Dec 2013 | 3:31 PM ET

Marc Faber’s shocking call: Go into cash

Posted By: Alex Rosenberg

Marc Faber is well-known for his bearish take on stocks as well as his theory that the actions of the Federal Reserve will end up crushing the value of the U.S. dollar. And that is precisely why his latest recommendation is so surprising.

When asked whether investors should keep their money in cash on Tuesday's episode of "Futures Now," Faber responded: "Cash, yes. I think the most hated asset at the present time is cash."

(Read more: Taper or no taper, the Fed will never end QE: Marc Faber)

This despite the fact that his monetary view hasn't changed.

"I agree that with the Fed's policy, cash loses purchasing power," Faber said.

The problem is that Faber thinks the market could crash, but only after rising further.


»Read more
  Tuesday, 17 Dec 2013 | 9:16 AM ET

Edgy bonds investors start to look beyond taper

Posted By: Alex Rosenberg

Most investors are split on whether the Fed will announce a reduction in its $85 billion monthly bond-buying program on Wednesday or in the first quarter of 2014. But some are starting to argue that the bond market is already looking beyond the first reduction, or tapering, and onto the future of quantitative easing.

"The market is anticipating a taper, and whether it's tomorrow, whether it's January or March, the process has begun," said Peter Boockvar, chief market strategist at the Lindsey Group. "So investors need to take the analysis one step further, and see whether the Fed is looking at this as a one-and-done ... or if this is the beginning of the end" of QE.

The market last predicted a taper in September, on the strength of guidance from Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. But partially due to threats of a government shutdown and U.S. debt default, Bernanke decided to hold off. Boockvar says the bond market is once again geared up for a tapering announcement.

"The bond market, at a 2.85 yield [on the 10-year note] is back where it was a day before the Fed chose not to taper, therefore implying that the Fed has teed up the market—or the market has teed up the Fed—in anticipation of an eventual taper," Boockvar said. "So in the market's eyes, it's a matter of when, not if."

(Read more: Treasurys edge higher ahead of Fed meeting)

»Read more
  Monday, 16 Dec 2013 | 10:26 AM ET

S&P suffers bizarre late-night swing, more ahead?

Posted By: Alex Rosenberg

Traders are warning that many rocky moves could be ahead in the last trading weeks of the year. This, after stock futures took a massive tick down to a five-week low in late trading before recovering, with no apparent reason behind the drop.

"The market was relatively thin, and somebody came in with enough volume to move the market," said Rich Ilczyszyn of iiTrader. "Stops were triggered, and it kind of snowballed down from there."

The swift move took the S&P 500 E-mini futures, the Dow Jones E-mini futures, and the Russell 2000 mini futures all to five-week lows at 10:08 p.m. EST Sunday. Then, after shaving off as many as 11.5 points—or 0.65 percent—in a minute, the S&P 500 came back by 4 a.m. EST, and opened higher on Monday morning.

»Read more
  Friday, 13 Dec 2013 | 11:14 AM ET

Experts predict a gold bounce soon—here’s why

Posted By: Alex Rosenberg

Gold could be set to bounce back in the beginning of 2014, as the overwhelmingly bearish sentiment in the market may present an appealing opportunity to get long the battered metal for a trade.

"Next year could be a totally different picture for gold," said George Gero, precious metals strategist at RBC Capital Markets.

He believes that improving fundamentals, plus a turnaround in sentiment, could finally put a bottom under the precious metal.

"Every analyst I've been seeing or talking to in the past month has gotten pretty bearish because of the price action. And as open interest has shrunk along with the price, a lot of money has been allocated out of gold and to the stock market," Gero told CNBC.com.

"There hasn't been too much inflation to make gold investors jump in at lower prices and bargain-hunt. But I believe that you could find some reallocation to gold next year, because the lack of inflation could be disappearing."

(Read more: Gold steadies after slide but Fed, fund worries remain)

Mark Dow, a former hedge fund manager whose bearish gold and silver calls have proven prescient, similarly believes that the precious metals have become ripe for a bounce.

"Now is a really good time, risk-reward-wise, to put on a long gold or a long silver trade," Dow said on Thursday's "Futures Now." With gold near the year's low at $1,179, "you could see that the stops are nearby, and you could get a bounce to $1,400 or something along those lines, or maybe even more."

»Read more
  Thursday, 12 Dec 2013 | 3:03 PM ET

Scared or not, you have to buy stocks: BlackRock

Posted By: Alex Rosenberg

Russ Koesterich, the chief investment strategist at BlackRock, empathizes with investors who are skittish about the stock market. But, he said, they really have no choice but to buy equities.

"If someone asked me, how would I describe my position going into 2014, I'd say that I'm a nervous long," he told "Futures Now" on Thursday.

People have good reason to be on edge, Koesterich added.

"I think that people should be a little bit more nervous," Koesterich said. "It's good to have that fear, because the reality is that we've had big gains, and those gains were mostly predicated on multiple expansion."

»Read more
  Wednesday, 11 Dec 2013 | 1:26 PM ET

Sticking with gold despite awful performance: Pro

Posted By: Bruno J. Navarro

One of the worst trades of the year—gold—presents even more opportunity in the long term, U.S. Holdings Chairman Rick Rule said Wednesday.

"I think the fundamentals for gold are pretty good," he said. "If you're a momentum trader, of course, you don't want to be anywhere near it. If you're a fundamental investor, the fact that it's down but its utility stays good makes it a better buy than it's ever been."

Gold, which has lost about 25 percent of its value this year, fell 0.3 percent to $1,257 per ounce in the spot market Wednesday, a day after hitting a three-week high.

(Read more: Gold falls on news of US budget deal)

»Read more
  Wednesday, 11 Dec 2013 | 11:14 AM ET

The budget deal is bad news for gold: Pro

Posted By: Rich Ilczyszyn
Getty Images

Now that congressional negotiators have struck a budget agreement, one big hurdle to an early Federal Reserve taper has been cleared. And that could be bad news for gold.

Most analysts expect the Fed to start tapering its $85 billion monthly bond-buying program in the first quarter, with only 2 percent expecting a move at next week's meeting.

I'm not a contrarian by nature, but I do like the risk-reward of betting that it does taper next week, especially with a budget deal being struck. A large part of why the Fed chose not to taper in September was the high probability of a government shutdown and debt ceiling debate, but a repeat of that next year no longer looks likely.

Between that and the strong economic numbers we've been seeing, a December taper is certainly not out of the question.

(Read more: As funds get massively short, gold could spike)

»Read more
  Wednesday, 11 Dec 2013 | 8:37 AM ET

Why the top could finally be in for this commodity

Posted By: Alex Rosenberg

Natural gas has had a phenomenal run over the past five weeks, rising nearly 25 percent on the strength of colder weather forecasts. But as the commodity slips in early Wednesday trading, the huge rally could finally be coming to an end.

"Right now we have seen just frigid temperatures," said Jeff Kilburg of KKM Financial. "How long can that persist? We have seen a dramatic 'up' move here, and right now I want to be a seller and kind of capture this euphoria in the market."

Because natural gas is used for heating, cold weather and cold forecasts are a boon to nat gas. So the recent spate of frigid weather has lit a fire under the commodity.

(Read more: Think more frigid weather is ahead? Then buy this)

"NYMEX gas continued to rally as nothing has changed," wrote Stephen Schork, the energy expert who edits the widely followed Schork Report. "That is to say, prices continued to rise as temps continued to fall."

But on Wednesday, nat gas is staging only its third drop in 16 sessions. And Jim Iuorio of TJM Institutional Services says this is past due.

"I definitely think it's due for a pullback," Iuorio said Tuesday on CNBC's "Futures Now." "I'm with Jeff—I think it gets lower now. After all, it can't get much colder here."

»Read more

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