Go Symbol Lookup
Loading...

Charts Look Really Bad for Apple

 Text Size  
Published: Monday, 8 Oct 2012 | 1:52 PM ET
By: Dan Nathan|Co-founder RiskReversal.com HKSCKPVIamp; CNBC Contributor

Note: This post was written by Dan Nathan, Co-founder RiskReversal.com and a contributor to CNBC's "Options Action."

Getty Images
Apple

Apple’s is about ten-percent off its recent highs.

And if the chart is any indication, the pain could just be starting.

(Track Apple Stock Here)

There’s a big red warning sign flashing in Apple’s chart that I simply cannot ignore, and neither should anyone else looking to buy shares of the tech titan.

With today’s sell-off, Apple just broke through the lower end of its head and shoulders formation and is just points away from breaking through its well-defined trend line.

What does it mean?

It means if the charts hold, Apple could soon be on its way to $600.

That’s the next battle line investors need to watch. That’s where the stock last found support prior to July’s disappointing Q3 results.

So what’s behind the sell-off now?

While no one thing stands out, the “map” debacle and disappointing iPhone5 unit sales have scuffed Apple’s glorious patina more than most market participants expected.

(Read More: Apple Orders 10 Million iPad Mini Units: Report)

But there’s something else that bothers me. Portfolio managers, who have underperformed their benchmarks all year, might be inclined to sell Apple since it represents a lone bright spot in their portfolios. In short, they gotta lock in profits where they can, and Apple has been everyone’s winner.

Historically, Apple management has paid little attention to the day-to-day price movement in the stock. But I for one would be worried about pressing the shorts here. A stock split or the announcement of an iPad mini (which could come any week) could cause a bit of a short squeeze here.

Dan Nathan is the co-founder of RiskReversal.com and a contributor to CNBC's "Options Action."

Watch Options Actionon CNBC Fridays 5:00pm ET, Saturdays at 6a ET and on Sundays at 6a ET

Questions, comments send them to us at: optionsaction@cnbc.com

 Print
Apple’s is about ten-percent off its recent highs. And if the chart is any indication, the pain could just be starting.
  Price   Change %Change
AAPL ---

   
Comments

 

More Comments

 
 

Add Comments

 

Your Comments (Up to 1100 characters):

Remaining characters

Your comments have not been posted yet.

Please review your submission to make sure you are comfortable with your entry.

Your Comments:


                
            
            
        

Contact

  • Showtimes

    Fridays, 5:30p ET
    Saturday, 6a ET
    Sunday, 6a ET
  • Lee is host on CNBC's “Fast Money,” and “Options Action.”

Latest Video

  • On April 26th, Dan made a bearish bet on gold. Managing a winning trade, with CNBC's Mandy Drury and the Options Action traders.

  • Rachel Fox of "Desperate Housewives" makes her first options trade, with CNBC's Mandy Drury and the Options Action traders. A simple options trade on Silver Wheaton.

  • A look at the charts. Is it time to fill up on Exxon? The company has lagged the market. Finding late-rally trades, with CNBC's Mandy Drury and the Options Action traders.

Options Action Daily Reports

Sponsored Related Links

More on thinkorswim by TD Ameritrade

  • Make sure you’re always keeping up with the market with up-to-the-minute news and breaking stories. Move on possible breakout stocks and options with potential opportunity. Plus, get in-depth analysis on futures and forex in one seamless, integrated experience. Join TD Ameritrade and trade commission-free for 60 days + get up to $600 cash.

You Make the Call

  • Mike Khouw, Options Action trader, shares his view on News Corp stock on the heels of testimony from Rupert Murdoch before British Parliament.

  • Do you have a question for the Options Action team? Options Action selects a viewer's question and gives the answer on the show's Make The Call Web Extra video.