Dhara Ranasinghe is Senior Writer with CNBC.com, covering a range of topics including the global economy, financial markets and corporate news. Before joining CNBC, Dhara was a correspondent and sub editor with Reuters news agency in London and Singapore. She has reported on European Treasury markets, Asian economies and currency markets and edited company news stories. Dhara holds a Bachelor's degree in History from the London School of Economics.
Dhara Ranasinghe
Senior Writer
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There appears to be a perception in markets that once this week’s key political events in the U.S. and China are over, uncertainty will be lifted and investors can get back to the ‘risk on’ trading environment that has prevailed in recent months. Don’t bet on it, strategists say.
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Worries about a looming U.S. “fiscal cliff” are hurting risk appetite and weighing on global equity markets, although Asian shares should weather the storm better than other markets, analysts said.
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As China ushers in a once-in-a-decade leadership change with the start of the ruling Communist Party’s congress on Thursday, a senior member of the Chinese government says the new generation of leaders will maintain the status quo - continuing policies of the outgoing team.
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Americans have just voted on who will govern them for the next four years, now China is poised to usher in a new generation of leaders that will rule the world’s second largest economy for the next 10 years.
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There appears to be a perception in markets that once this week’s key political events in the U.S. and China are over, uncertainty will be lifted and investors can get back to the ‘risk on’ trading environment that has prevailed in recent months. Don’t bet on it, strategists say.
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The prospect of lower interest rates often means one thing in financial markets– a weaker currency. But that does not appear to be the case with the Australian dollar, which is expected to stay strong even as the nation’s central bank looks set to cut interest rates again this week.
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The U.S. jobs market is in focus with monthly payrolls data out later Friday and the one thing that could provide a big boost to job creation - that has stayed weak in recent months - is a signal that the “fiscal cliff” will be avoided, economists told CNBC.
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A slew of weak U.S. corporate earnings results have bought concerns about the global economic outlook back to the fore with a vengeance, threatening to end a four-month long rally in world stock markets and other risk assets.
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Just a month ago traders were on high alert for intervention from Japan to weaken its surging currency. Now that the yen is falling against the dollar, the pressure on Japan to take action has eased, but not for long, said analysts.
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Harsh words from Republican candidate Mitt Romney about branding China a currency manipulator if he’s elected president next month is politics, but the rhetoric may well encourage Beijing to keep nudging its currency higher in the weeks ahead to avoid being at the center of the U.S. election debate, analysts say.