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Buy November's Historical Bull Cycle?

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Published: Thursday, 1 Nov 2012 | 4:44 PM ET
Giovanny Moreano By:

Quantitative Analyst

Historic Performance in November

Dow industrials since 1972:

  • On average, the Dow industrial average has gained 1.26 percent during November
  • Up 68 percent of the time
  • The best November was in 2001, when the average rose 8.6 percent
  • The worst November was in 1973, when the average fell 14 percent
  • November ranks as the fourth best month out of the year for the Dow industrials
  • On average, the Dow industrial average has increased 1 percent during November when October was a negative month, up 70 percent of the time

S&P 500 since 1972:

  • On average, the S&P 500 has gained 1.2 percent during November
  • Up 65 percent of the time
  • The best November was in 1980, when the index rose 10 percent
  • The worst November was in 1973, when the index fell 11 percent
  • November ranks as the fifth best month out of the year for the S&P 500
  • On average, the S&P 500 has increased 1 percent during November when October was a negative month, up 70 percent of the time

Nasdaq Composite Index since 1972:

  • On average, the Nasdaq index has gained 1.6 percent during November
  • Up 65 percent of the time
  • The best November was in 2001, when the index rose 14 percent
  • The worst November was in 2000, when the index fell 22.9 percent
  • November ranks as the third-best month out of the year for the Nasdaq index
  • On average, the Nasdaq index has increased 1.5 percent during November when October was a negative month, up 77 percent of the time


Comments? Ideas? Send them to giovanny.moreano@nbcuni.com

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Since 1950, November has been the second-best month of the year for the S&P 500 and third for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Historically, it's also the start of the most bullish months of the year, up to April.

   
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