A Republican economist who previously predicted President Barack Obama would prevail over Republican challenger Mitt Romney has changed his prediction, arguing to CNBC on Tuesday that current polls may overstate Obama's support.
Larry Lindsey, a former national economic council director under former President George W. Bush, cited a criticism made frequently by other Republicans that most of the polling quoted in the media over-represents registered Democrats.
That, he argues, is skewing poll samples toward Obama while understating Romney's strength.
"The consensus view in the polls is a narrow win for the president, but if you look closely, they have an advantage to the Democrats in turnout of four points," said Lindsey, the CEO of the Lindsey Group. He added that in the 2008 election, Democratic turnout was seven points.