Manufacturing and corporate profits are both in recession mode, even though the rest of the U.S. economy continues to limp along.» Read More
Nicole Lapin, of CNBC's Worldwide Exchange, explains what she's long and what she's short this week.
Remember when you waited on tenterhooks when the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee was meeting. Would they raise rates? Lower them? Leave them unchanged? How should you trade the announcement?
These days are just plain boring. No one is shocked that the Federal Reserve will not alter its 0 to 1 /4 percent federal funds rate target. And we knew all the back in November that quantitative easing was back on.
The prospects of a Municipal Meltdown are on nearly everyone's list of potential nightmare scenarios for 2011, but whose opinions can we trust?
Since we've already learned (the hard way) that the professional ratings agencies are hopeless, how about a different approach to municipal credit insights? What if we turned to Zagat for a state-by state outlook? Can't be much worse than the non-anticipatory, bought-and-paid-for research we're relying on now...
Here's how those Zagat-style muni bond reviews might look...
Google n-grams shows the rise of public awareness of hedge funds. What seems clear, to me, is that hedge funds are getting far more attention than they deserve and investment banks not enough, given their relative importance to the broader economy.
It’s eye opening to reflect that the Basel III requirements are the joint production of more than 500 representatives from 27 nations, including top regulators and central bankers. They met dozens of times this past year. They produced 440 pages of new rules.
But those rules are just as open to regulatory arbitrgage—a fancy phrase for gaming the system—as ever.
Let’s take a quick example of how a banks can easily shrink the amount of regulatory capital they need for a loan, and subsequently increase their overall leverage. \(For real finance nerds, read the OECD paper from which this example is borrowed.\)
10 Fun Reads for Today:
1.Top Ten Finance Feuds of 2010 from The Reformed Broker including Whitney Tilson vs Netflix and Bob Prechter versus reality.
2. I don't know if this is good or bad for Playboy stock, but Hefner gets engaged to a 24 year old . Mazel Tov!
3. VC Bijan Sabet's best products for 2010 .
4. For everyone who really hates me: Why I'm an Optimist .
5. I'm sure a lot of you got an iPhone for Christmas. Here's essential iPhone resources .
6.This is a relief: Delinquencies will decline in 2011 . Take that foreclosuregate!
7.Can this really be true? Is Jessica Simpson a billionaire ?
8. For everyone who is trashing the US and capitalism, knock yourself out on the most important statistic there is .
9. Another important statistic: This is called a V-shaped recovery in jobs.
10. And finally, if education is so great then why didn't you ever learn where pasta really came from?
Ready to be offended? The Taiwanese news animators have created this video re-imaging the Nativity in contemporary America. Mary and Joseph live in a trailer park. In a tangled bit of Chinese nationalism, Mary is impregnated by a Chinese food delivery man. At various points, we catch glimpes of Oprah Winfrey, Julian Assange and a naked Charlie Sheen running through a hotel lobby.
In short, if you are easily offended, don't watch. Otherwise, enjoy this insight into how we're seen abroad.
This blizzard is pretty sick. 18 inches of snow. Blustery winds.
Freezing temperatures that make you want to avoid going outside and shovel. But the critical question is: should you trade on a snow day?
I did a simple study. I loaded up all the weather data for Central Park, NYC since WW II. I looked at every day where there was more than 5 inches of snow on the ground and asked the question: were those days up days or down days.
This is a critical question for my kids. They don't want me to trade on snow days. They want me to build a snowman. Should I?
Blizzar-caine NYC! (CNBC via AP) New York City gets over a foot of snow and 50 mph winds. The three major New York airports are still closed. Light trading volume is anticipated at market open. (Also, anecdotally, I've never seen lightning in a snowstorm before: At first, I thought a building was on fire in Harlem as the light flashed through my window.) "A treacherous commute of lashing winds, slick streets and low visibility buffeted workers returning Monday to their post-Christmas routines as a winter storm that dumped about a foot of snow on southern New England continued crawling up the East Coast, stranding thousands of airline, bus and rail passengers." Photo roundup — from the NY Post."
Khodorkovsky Found Guilty in Russian Court, Again \(Financial Times\) Mikhail Khodorkovsky, once the richest man in Russia, was found guilty in a Russian court of embezzling funds from the now-defunct Yukos, and of money laundering charges. He has just been sentenced to six more years in prison. This was his second trial. Khodorkovsky has been in prison since 2003. "Reading the verdict in the politically charged trial of a chief Kremlin foe, judge Viktor Danilkin said the court had established that Khodorkovsky and Lebedev 'carried out the embezzlement of property entrusted to the defendants.' Enclosed in a glass-and-steel courtroom cage, Khodorkovsky and Lebedev pointed ignored the judge as he read out the widely expect guilty verdict, whispering to one another and reading books and documents. A crowd of a few hundred supporters outside the courthouse chanted 'Freedom!'."
If there's any doubt the Fed is targeting December for its first rate hike, just look at the bond market.
Italy plans to launch a series of bad bank-style measures as early as the end of the year, the FT reports.
Hillary Clinton's close ties to Wall Street is an image she can't seek to shake, The New York Times reports.