Predictions '10 - Special Report

  • In some cases, the difference between a winner and loser is often in the eye of the beholder--who can be a victim or a beneficiary--or simply a political ideologue. That’s why we want readers to weigh in and vote on a variety of people and concepts. We’ll report back with results and rankings on December 1.

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    We asked you to vote on the big winners and losers of 2009.  In the results of our poll—100,000 votes were cast—there were a few close votes, some decidedly one-sided ones and a couple surprise outcomes. And, there were a handful of big losers and big winners.

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    The job-creation picture will surprise on the upside, the Fed will tighten and thus boost the dollar and the a decline in gold prices will sink the carry trade.

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    A mid-year slump for residential housing , no letup for foreclosures and say goodbye to bargain basement mortgage rates.

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    A break-out year for digital books and 3-D TV, a big comeback for Microsoft and a fall from grace for netbooks and Twitter.

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    Look for consumers to have more control than ever over how when and where they access content, for social media to show continued growth and greater influence and an explosion on content on free sources.

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    Team owners will continue to cut down on luxury suites at their stadiums, broadcasters will go big on 3-D and more foreign investors will buy into professional sports.

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    Ford Motor and General Motors will each take step big steps forward , but Chrysler is in for a tough year as it tries to buy time by pedaling old models.

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    A funny thing happened on the way to Armageddon. The world did not end.  While many of us preached doom a year ago, some were sellin’ the hope. Here are predictions for 2010, which are also a bit bold and optimistic.

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    Look for consumers to return to their cost-conscious ways after the holidays, an increase in private label sales and heightened competition between Wal-Mart and Amazon.

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    This year's forecast is a wish list. OK, I know that's cheating, but can you honestly think of even a half dozen prognosticators who have been totally right in the last two years?

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    More companies will be hiring this year than in 2009, but competition will hotter than ever before and job candidates will have to go the extra mile to get the post.

  • The Fed hikes rates three times, Congress seeks more control over the central bank and Obama moves closer to the middle on fiscal policy.

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    The dollar will remain the global reserve currency, house inventories will continue to shrink and prices stabilize and structural problems will restrain the economic recovery.

  • The Federal Reserve headquarters in Washington, DC.

    Expect the Fed to raise interest rates, emerging market stocks to soar and the U.S. Congress not to pass climate change legislation.

  • Factory Emissions

    Look for President Obama to sign climate change legislation into law in April, a barrage of carbon footprint commercials on TV, a sustainability label from Walmart and the election of green governors.

  • Companies will deploy more cash next year as part of a third-year expansion of the bull market, with the S&P 500 rising 15 percent, Thomas Lee, chief US equity strategist for J.P. Morgan, told CNBC Friday.

  • Stimulus Package

    The U.S. House of Representatives had passed the economic stimulus package. Now the measure goes to the Senate for a vote. 

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    Stocks retreated in a yo-yo session as an earlier advance in the shares of energy and big-cap technology companies dissipated. But banks held gains as investors hoped for more clarity on the government plan to firm up the financial system, with Fed Chairman Ben Beranke meeting with President Obama today.

  • Downsizing

    When it comes to job losses, March will be the cruelest month.  “It almost can’t get any worse,” says one economist.