Economic Measures Recession


  • WASHINGTON, Feb 12- The Federal Reserve's carefully scripted decision to raise interest rates last December, and begin a return to "normal" policy, may now become a nightmare for the U.S. central bank if an economic downturn forces a return to unconventional methods. We previously studied them and decided they would not work well, "Yellen told the U.S. Senate Banking...

  • *Yen at 15- month high despite Japan's verbal intervention. TOKYO, Feb 12- Asian shares slid on Friday as mounting concerns about the health of European banks further threatened a global economic outlook already under strain from falling oil prices and slowdown in China and other emerging markets. Shares in Australia and South Korea fell about 0.5 percent...

  • Something disturbing in these charts: Pro Thursday, 11 Feb 2016 | 5:12 PM ET
    Something disturbing in these charts: Pro

    Carter Worth, Cornerstone Macro, looks at signals after great periods of advance that point to a recession.

  • NEW YORK, Feb 11- Bank shares dragged Wall Street lower on Thursday on concerns the slowing global economy will continue to pressure interest rates, while energy shares helped pare losses late in the session. Volume was high as the S&P 500 touched its lowest in two years at its session low but shaved half its loss by the close after the Wall Street Journal reported...

  • WASHINGTON— Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen cautioned Thursday that global economic pressures pose risks to the U.S. economy but said it's too soon to know whether those risks are severe enough to alter the Fed's interest-rate policies. But she said the Fed thought it should study the issue again now that other central banks, including in Europe and Japan,...

  • LONDON, Feb 11- Gold climbed to its highest in almost nine months on Thursday as the dollar, U.S. The Fed is unlikely to reverse its plan to increase rates further this year, but tighter credit markets, volatile financial markets and uncertainty over Chinese economic growth will only allow gradual adjustments to monetary policy, Federal Reserve Chair Janet...

  • Are markets in risk of recession? Thursday, 11 Feb 2016 | 3:10 AM ET
    Are markets in risk of recession?

    Didier Duret, global CIO of ABN Amro Private Banking, says we are not in a systemic risk environment and the situation is manageable.

  • Feb 10- The S&P 500 ended flat on Wednesday, losing gains late in the session as investors digested comments by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, who kept options open for more rate hikes but also saw risks to the U.S. economy. The market had traded higher for much of the session after Yellen told Congress she does not expect the central bank to reverse the rate hike...

  • WASHINGTON— Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen cautioned Wednesday that global weakness and falling financial markets could depress the U.S. economy's growth and slow the pace of Fed interest rate hikes. She did concede, though, that negative rates, which central banks in Japan and Europe have recently imposed, are a tool the Fed has at least studied.

  • Pros & cons of raising rates for banks Tuesday, 9 Feb 2016 | 1:17 PM ET
    Pros & cons of raising rates for banks

    Looking ahead to Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's testimony on Capitol Hill Wednesday, with Drew Matus, UBS Chief U.S. Economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman.

  • Things aren't as bad as markets are saying: Strategist

    William Hobbs, head of investment strategy Europe at Barclays, says the real economy is in better shape and discusses the risk of recession.

  • Strategy amid the selloff Monday, 8 Feb 2016 | 1:43 PM ET
    Strategy amid the selloff

    Discussing the potential for a recession in the U.S., and the best strategy amid volatility, with Joe Duran, United Capital CEO, and Joe Quinlan, U.S. Trust chief market strategist & managing director.

  • SAO PAULO, Feb 5- Itaú Unibanco Holding SA, Brazil's largest private-sector bank, has for years traded at a premium to rival Banco Bradesco SA but many investors are betting the gap will narrow amid sharply diverging outlooks from the lenders. With Brazil facing its longest recession in a century, the banks' share prices will depend on how they navigate a slew of...

  • Citi: World economy trapped in 'death spiral' Friday, 5 Feb 2016 | 11:05 AM ET
    Global currency spiral

    The global economy seems trapped in a "death spiral" that could lead to further weakness in oil prices, recession and a serious equity bear market, Citi has warned.

  • Feb 5- U.S. stock index futures were little changed on Friday as investors awaited the January employment report that could provide clues on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook. The data is expected at 8:30 a.m. ET. *Stocks have had a rough start to 2016, hurt by tepid U.S. growth, falling oil prices and concern that the world faces a China- led slowdown.

  • Bear tracks on the Street Thursday, 4 Feb 2016 | 10:24 AM ET
    Bear tracks on the Street

    CNBC's Steve Liesman looks back on bear markets and recessions in history, and the correlation between the start of a recession.

  • Asian stocks directionless ahead of US jobless report Thursday, 4 Feb 2016 | 10:23 AM ET

    NEW YORK— U.S. stocks posted modest gains Thursday as investors await Friday's closely watched jobs report, which could offer insight about the U.S. economy and help determine whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates again next month. Many believe the likelihood of another rate increase in March has faded because of recent signs of weakness in the...

  • Economist: Slow productivity growth a mystery Thursday, 4 Feb 2016 | 8:35 AM ET
    Economist: Slow productivity growth a mystery

    John Ryding, RDQ Economics, shares his thoughts on problems facing the Federal Reserve.

  • Jobless claims up 8,000 to 285,000 Thursday, 4 Feb 2016 | 8:30 AM ET
    Jobless claims up 8,000 to 285,000

    CNBC's Rick Santelli breaks down the latest numbers on unemployment and fourth quarter productivity. And CNBC's Steve Liesman provides perspective.

  • Can markets predict recessions? Thursday, 4 Feb 2016 | 7:04 AM ET
    Can markets predict recessions?

    CNBC's Steve Liesman takes a look at which bear markets leads to recession and which don't.