Markets have overreacted to recent concerns on oversupply in soft commodities, and the fundamentals do not support the recent sell-off, Sudakshina Unnikrishnan, analyst at Barclays Capital, told CNBC on Tuesday.
China’s self-sufficiency in wheat, rice and corn could be reversed in dramatic fashion in the next few years offering investors a chance to make big returns, according to Richard Ferguson, the global head of agriculture at Renaissance Capital in London.
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Global floods and drought have pushed wheat futures up over 75% in the past year. Insight on how to play this commodity trade, with Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter, and the Fast Money traders weigh in on their stock picks of the day.
Experts in the corn, wheat and soy markets expect the sharp pullback in recent weeks to be little more than a temporary correction as heavy rain and strong demand cause prices to rebound.
With drought threatening food production in the EU, US and China analysts at Renaissance Capital believe the next 8-10 weeks will be crucial to prices in 2011 and 2012.
Glencore made a speculative bet on rising wheat and corn prices in the early stages of last summer’s Russian drought, when senior traders at the Swiss-based company publicly urged Russia to impose a grain export ban. The FT reports.
Grain prices are going to take almost two years to rebuild, so there's going to be a period of elevated costs, said Farha Aslam, food analyst at Stephens.
If you're looking for action, try grains, but even that may be iffy. It all depends on the weather.