By the Numbers

Earnings Preview: American Express

American Express, the largest U.S. credit card company by purchases, is scheduled to report fourth-quarter results after the closing bell on Thursday, January 21.

The consensus First Call EPS estimate stands at $0.56 compared to last year's gain of $0.21, while revenue is expected to decrease by 6% to $6.12 billion. 

What follows are some facts and figures on how American Express shares traded in the most recent earnings reports. 

American Express

  • Missed revenue estimates for 7 of the past 8 quarters

  • Beat EPS estimates for 4 of the past 8 quarters, met once, and missed 3 times

  • Beat annual EPS estimates for 3 of the past 5 years

  • Dollar impact? In 2008, 32% of revenue derived from outside the United States

  • AmEx shares are up 4% in 2010, and 304% since the March low

  • Competitors' Performance in 2010: MasterCard +0.9%, Visa -3%, Discover Financial -3%, and Capital One +10%

  • AmEx shares hit a new 52-week high of $43.25 yesterday, their highest level since June 17, 2008

  • The company's shares are trading 3% above their 50-day moving average

Stock Performance By The Numbers

  • In the past 8 quarters, AmEx shares rose 2.07%, on average, the day the company reported its quarterly results
  • In 7 of the last 11 earnings reports, AmEx shares trended up within 12 days, posting an overall average gain of 3.7% (

S&P Financial Sector:

  • Third best performing sector so far in 2010, up 2%
  • Leaders year-to-date: Zions Bancorp +50%,  KeyCorp +36% and Regions Financial +36%

Earning Estimates Source: CNBC & Thomson Reuters

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