Double-Dip Real Estate Markets
In its quarterly report on home values, real estate website Zillow.compainted a bleak picture for the U.S. housing market, with negative equity hitting a new high and with home values showing signs of a double dip.
Using the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as a barometer, the company reported that home values fell faster in the first quarter of 2011 than in any quarter since 2008, falling 3 percent from the previous quarter and 8.2 percent year over year. In addition, foreclosures were on the rise in the quarter due to banks lifting moratoriums on foreclosures. As a result, Zillow expects home values to bottom in 2012, at the earliest.
Although the national trend in home values is evident, local housing markets tend to vary dramatically, with several already showing a double dip in home prices. To get an idea of which local markets are seeing the biggest double dips, Zillow analyzed data for CNBC.com i n 158 metro areas to identify the cities where home values have seen the biggest recent run-ups before falling below their previous bottoms.
Cities are ranked here based upon the magnitude of the metro area’s run-up in home prices, with each experiencing at least seven months of consecutive home price declines.
So, which U.S. metro areas have seen the biggest double-dip in home prices? Click ahead for the list.
By Paul Toscano
Posted 16 May 2011
15. Denver, Colorado
Pre-dip run-up: 4.3%
Fall since last peak: -9.6%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -5.7%
Prices falling since: May 2010
Run-up length: 14 months
ZHVI High: $212,870
ZHVI Low: $192,341
14. Springfield, Massachusetts
Pre-dip run-up: 4.4%
Fall since last peak: -10.4%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -6.4%
Prices falling since: August 2009
Run-up length: 6 months
ZHVI High: $197,151
ZHVI Low: $176,705
13. Merced, California
Pre-dip run-up: 4.6%
Fall since last peak: -6.0%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -1.7%
Prices falling since: August 2010
Run-up length: 11 Months
ZHVI High: $111,851
ZHVI Low: $105,110
12. Punta Gorda, Florida
Pre-dip run-up: 5.0%
Fall since last peak: -9.9%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -5.5%
Prices falling since: February 2010
Run-up length: 10 months
ZHVI High: $124,538
ZHVI Low: $112,173
11. Greensboro, North Carolina
Pre-dip run-up: 5.0%
Fall since last peak: -14.0%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -9.7%
Prices falling since: September 2009
Run-up length: 7 months
ZHVI High: $132,342
ZHVI Low: $113,774
10. Los Angeles, California
Pre-dip run-up: 5.2%
Fall since last peak: -8.1%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -3.3%
Prices falling since: May 2010
Run-up length: 13 months
ZHVI High: $420,466
ZHVI Low: $386,449
9. Ventura, California
Pre-dip run-up: 5.4%
Fall since last peak: -7.5%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -2.6%
Prices falling since: May 2010
Run-up length: 14 months
ZHVI High: $416,181
ZHVI Low: $384,541
8. San Francisco, California
Pre-dip run-up: 5.5%
Fall since last peak: -10.6%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -5.7%
Prices falling since: May 2010
Run-up length: 14 months
ZHVI High: $522,099
ZHVI Low: $466,972
7. Santa Cruz, California
Pre-dip run-up: 6.1%
Fall since last peak: -10.5%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -5.0%
Prices falling since: July 2009
Run-up length: 5 months
ZHVI High: $528,527
ZHVI Low: $472,588
6. Worcester, Massachusetts
Pre-dip run-up: 6.3%
Fall since last peak: -13.6%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -8.2%
Prices falling since: September 2009
Run-up length: 6 months
ZHVI High: $213,633
ZHVI Low: $191,041
5. Salinas, California
Pre-dip run-up: 6.6%
Fall since last peak: -6.7%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -0.6%
Prices falling since: July 2010
Run-up length: 15 months
ZHVI High: $341,830
ZHVI Low: $293,775
4. San Diego, California
Pre-dip run-up: 6.6%
Fall since last peak: -6.7%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -0.5%
Prices falling since: June 2010
Run-up length: 15 months
ZHVI High: $372,230
ZHVI Low: $347,472
3. Boston, Massachusetts
Pre-dip run-up: 6.7%
Fall since last peak: -6.8%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -0.6%
Prices falling since: June 2010
Run-up length: 16 months
ZHVI High: $328,282
ZHVI Low: $305,831
2. Green Bay, Wisconsin
Pre-dip run-up: 7.8%
Fall since last peak: -9.9%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -2.8%
Prices falling since: August 2009
Run-up length: 6 months
ZHVI High: $143,322
ZHVI Low: $131,418
1. Gainesville, Georgia
Pre-dip run-up: 10.6%
Fall since last peak: -18.8%
Compared to pre-run-up low: -10.1%
Prices falling since: July 2010
Run-up length: 7 months
ZHVI High: $133,944
ZHVI Low: $108,801