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20 Stocks with the Potential to Drop

20 Stocks with the Potential to Drop

20-stocks-to-drop-0312-cover.jpg
It's the basic question when investing in a stock: is it on the way up or down? The street has developed numerous ways of attempting to predict what will happen, estimating various attributes tied to stock performance in order to determine what the future holds for a company's valuation. After dissecting the data, analysts following a particular stock produce a price target of where they believe the stock is headed. With data from Thomson Reuters, CNBC.com grouped stocks in the S&P 500 with aver
Photo: Yasuyoshi Chiba | AFP Creative | Getty Images

It's the basic question when investing in a stock: is it on the way up or down?

The street has developed numerous ways of attempting to predict what will happen, estimating various attributes tied to stock performance in order to determine what the future holds for a company's valuation.

After dissecting the data, analysts following a particular stock produce a price target of where they believe the stock is headed. With data from Thomson Reuters, CNBC.com grouped stocks in the S&P 500 with average consensus estimates farthest below their stock prices.

In the S&P 500, the average short interest (as a % of float) stands at 4.11 percent, while the range for companies in the list is between 0.84 percent and 49 percent. All the prices are the latest available, data from Capital IQ and Thomson Reuters as of market close on Sept, 27 2012.

So, which stocks are analysts expecting to have the biggest drops? Click ahead to find out!

By Giovanny Moreano& Paul Toscano
Posted 27 Sept 2012

20. Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF)

20-stocks-to-drop-0912-CINF.jpg
Potential to Drop: -4.41% Closing Price (9/27): $37.66 Price Target: $36 YTD Change: +23.64% Short interest (as % of float): 5.44% Analysts Covering: 7 High Price Target: $44 Low Price Target: $30
Photo: cinfin.com

Potential to Drop: -4.41%
Closing Price (9/27): $37.66
Price Target: $36

YTD Change: +23.64%
Short interest (as % of float): 5.44%

Analysts Covering: 7
High Price Target: $44
Low Price Target: $30

Get CINF Real-Time Quote

19. Lockheed Martin (LMT)

20-stocks-to-drop-0912-LMT.jpg
Potential to Drop: -5.36% Closing Price (9/27): $92 Price Target: $87.07 YTD Change: +13.72% Short interest (as % of float): 2.87% Analysts Covering: 15 High Price Target: $105 Low Price Target: $60
Photo: Mike Fuentes | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -5.83%
Closing Price (9/27): $92.46
Price Target: $87.07

YTD Change: +14.29%
Short interest (as % of float): 2.87%

Analysts Covering: 15
High Price Target: $105
Low Price Target: $60

Get LMT Real-Time Quote

18. The Dun & Bradstreet Corp (DNB)

20-stocks-to-drop-0912-DNB.jpg
Potential to Drop: -5.32% Closing Price (9/27): $79.67 Price Target: $75.43 YTD Change: +6.47% Short interest (as % of float): 9.28% Analysts Covering: 7 High Price Target: $81 Low Price Target: $68
Photo: dnb.com

Potential to Drop: -5.97%
Closing Price (9/27): $80.22
Price Target: $75.43

YTD Change: +7.20%
Short interest (as % of float): 9.28%

Analysts Covering: 7
High Price Target: $81
Low Price Target: $68

Get DNB Real-Time Quote

17. AT&T (T)

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Potential to Drop: 6.92% Closing Price (9/27): $38.22 Price Target: $35.57 YTD Change: +26.39% Short interest (as % of float): 1.10% Analysts Covering: 31 High Price Target: $44 Low Price Target: $28
Photo: Etienne Franchi | AFP | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -6.36%
Closing Price (9/27): $37.99
Price Target: $35.57

YTD Change: +25.63%
Short interest (as % of float): 1.10%

Analysts Covering: 31
High Price Target: $44
Low Price Target: $28

Get T Real-Time Quote

16. Eli Lilly (LLY)

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Potential to Drop: -6.42% Closing Price (9/27): $47.46 Price Target: $44.41 YTD Change: +14.19% Short interest (as % of float): 2.10% Analysts Covering: 17 High Price Target: $53 Low Price Target: $35
Photo: konrad Fiedler | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -6.78%
Closing Price (9/27): $47.64
Price Target: $44.41

YTD Change: +14.63%
Short interest (as % of float): 2.10%

Analysts Covering: 17
High Price Target: $53
Low Price Target: $35

Get LLY Real-Time Quote

15. Whirlpool Corp (WHR)

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Potential to Drop: -5.68% Closing Price (9/27): $82.17 Price Target: $77.50 YTD Change: +73.17% Short interest (as % of float): 6.19% Analysts Covering: 4 High Price Target: $95 Low Price Target: $57
Photo: Daniel Acker | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -7.16%
Closing Price (9/27): $83.48
Price Target: $77.50

YTD Change: +75.93%
Short interest (as % of float): 6.19%

Analysts Covering: 4
High Price Target: $95
Low Price Target: $57

Get WHR Real-Time Quote

14. Sherwin Williams (SHW)

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Potential to Drop: -6.13% Closing Price (9/27): $146.73 Price Target: $137.73 YTD Change: +64.37% Short interest (as % of float): 4.44% Analysts Covering: 15 High Price Target: $195 Low Price Target: $110
Photo: Daniel Acker | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -7.39%
Closing Price (9/27): $148.73
Price Target: $137.73

YTD Change: +66.61%
Short interest (as % of float): 4.44%

Analysts Covering: 15
High Price Target: $195
Low Price Target: $110

Get SHW Real-Time Quote

13. Weyerhaeuser (WY)

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Potential to Drop: -6.11% Closing Price (9/27): $26.32 Price Target: $24.71 YTD Change: +40.95% Short interest (as % of float): 2.30% Analysts Covering: 12 High Price Target: $31 Low Price Target: $18
Photo: Weyerhaueser Wood Products | Facebook

Potential to Drop: -7.42%
Closing Price (9/27): $26.69
Price Target: $24.71

YTD Change: +42.96%
Short interest (as % of float): 2.30%

Analysts Covering: 12
High Price Target: $31
Low Price Target: $18

Get WY Real-Time Quote

12. Sprint Nextel (S)

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Potential to Drop: -6.93% Closing Price (9/27): $5.55 Price Target: $5.17 YTD Change: +137.18% Short interest (as % of float): 3.43% Analysts Covering: 29 High Price Target: $11.5 Low Price Target: $2.5
Photo: Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -7.76%
Closing Price (9/27): $5.60
Price Target: $5.17

YTD Change: +139.32%
Short interest (as % of float): 3.43%

Analysts Covering: 29
High Price Target: $11.5
Low Price Target: $2.5

Get S Real-Time Quote

11. Masco Corp (MAS)

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Potential to Drop: -6.19% Closing Price (9/27): $15.03 Price Target: $14.10 YTD Change: +43.42% Short interest (as % of float): 6.26% Analysts Covering: 10 High Price Target: $18 Low Price Target: $12
Photo: Masco Corp | Facebook

Potential to Drop: -7.90%
Closing Price (9/27): $15.31
Price Target: $14.10

YTD Change: +46.09%
Short interest (as % of float): 6.26%

Analysts Covering: 10
High Price Target: $18
Low Price Target: $12

Get MAS Real-Time Quote

10. Discovery Communications (DISCA)

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Potential to Drop: -6.82% Closing Price (9/27): $58.66 Price Target: $54.67 YTD Change: +43.19% Short interest (as % of float): 3.43% Analysts Covering: 24 High Price Target: $66 Low Price Target: $40
Photo: corporate.discovery.com

Potential to Drop: -8.11%
Closing Price (9/27): $59.49
Price Target: $54.67

YTD Change: +45.20%
Short interest (as % of float): 3.43%

Analysts Covering: 24
High Price Target: $66
Low Price Target: $40

Get DISCA Real-Time Quote

9. Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK)

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Potential to Drop: -8.02% Closing Price (9/27): $7.83 Price Target: $7.20 YTD Change: +25.28% Short interest (as % of float): 1.82% Analysts Covering: 11 High Price Target: $8.75 Low Price Target: $6
Photo: hcsbonline.com

Potential to Drop: -8.32%
Closing Price (9/27): $7.85
Price Target: $7.20

YTD Change: +25.68%
Short interest (as % of float): 1.82%

Analysts Covering: 11
High Price Target: $8.75
Low Price Target: $6

Get HCBK Real-Time Quote

8. Harris Corp (HRS)

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Potential to Drop: -8.82% Closing Price (9/27): $51 "Price Target: $46.50 YTD Change: +41.51% Short interest (as % of float): 3.80% Analysts Covering: 6 High Price Target: $62 Low Price Target: $38
Photo: Harris Corporations | Facebook

Potential to Drop: -9.43%
Closing Price (9/27): $51.34
Price Target: $46.50

YTD Change: +42.45%
Short interest (as % of float): 3.80%

Analysts Covering: 6
High Price Target: $62
Low Price Target: $38

Get HRS Real-Time Quote

7. Expedia (EXPE)

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Potential to Drop: -9.04% Closing Price (9/27): $57.67 Price Target: $52.45 YTD Change: +98.73% Short interest (as % of float): 12.20% Analysts Covering: 22 High Price Target: $68 Low Price Target: $32
Photo: expedia.com

Potential to Drop: -9.90%
Closing Price (9/27): $58.22
Price Target: $52.45

YTD Change: +100.62%
Short interest (as % of float): 12.20%

Analysts Covering: 22
High Price Target: $68
Low Price Target: $32

Get EXPE Real-Time Quote

6. PulteGroup (PHM)

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Potential to Drop: -10.15% Closing Price (9/27): $15.62 Price Target: $14.03 YTD Change: +147.46% Short interest (as % of float): 9.50% Analysts Covering: 17 High Price Target: $22 Low Price Target: $8
Photo: Ronda Churchill | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -10.30%
Closing Price (9/27): $15.64
Price Target: $14.03

YTD Change: +147.86%
Short interest (as % of float): 9.50%

Analysts Covering: 17
High Price Target: $22
Low Price Target: $8

Get PHM Real-Time Quote

5. Lexmark International (LXK)

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Potential to Drop: -10.28% Closing Price (9/27): $22.57 Price Target: $20.25 YTD Change: -31.75% Short interest (as % of float): 25.83 Analysts Covering: 8 High Price Target: $28 Low Price Target: $16
Photo: Gavin Roberts | PC Plus Magazine | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -11.46%
Closing Price (9/27): $22.87
Price Target: $20.25

YTD Change: -30.84%
Short interest (as % of float): 25.83

Analysts Covering: 8
High Price Target: $28
Low Price Target: $16

Get LXK Real-Time Quote

4. First Solar (FSLR)

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Potential to Drop: -7.08% Closing Price (9/27): $21.95 Price Target: $20.40 YTD Change: -34.98% Short interest (as % of float): 49.23% Analysts Covering: 24 High Price Target: $50 Low Price Target: $9
Photo: Joshua Lott | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -11.74%
Closing Price (9/27): $23.11
Price Target: $20.40

YTD Change: -31.55%
Short interest (as % of float): 49.23%

Analysts Covering: 24
High Price Target: $50
Low Price Target: $9

Get FSLR Real-Time Quote

3. Autonation (AN)

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Potential to Drop: -12.33% Closing Price (9/27): $43.22 Price Target: $37.89 YTD Change: +17.22% Short interest (as % of float): 19.75% Analysts Covering: 9 High Price Target: $53 Low Price Target: $25
Photo: Autonation

Potential to Drop: -12.66%
Closing Price (9/27): $43.38
Price Target: $37.89

YTD Change: +17.66%
Short interest (as % of float): 19.75%

Analysts Covering: 9
High Price Target: $53
Low Price Target: $25

Get AN Real-Time Quote

2. Tyco International (TYC)

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Potential to Drop: -12.56% Closing Price (9/27): $54.89 Price Target: $48 YTD Change: +17.52% Short interest (as % of float): 0.84% Analysts Covering: 2 High Price Target: $66 Low Price Target: $30
Photo: Emile Wamsteker | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -12.66%
Closing Price (9/27): $56.05
Price Target: $48

YTD Change: +20.00%
Short interest (as % of float): 0.84%

Analysts Covering: 2
High Price Target: $66
Low Price Target: $30

Get TYC Real-Time Quote

1. MetroPCS (PCS)

20-stocks-to-drop-0912-PCS.jpg
Potential to Drop: -19.44% Closing Price (9/27): $11.52 Price Target: $9.28 YTD Change: +32.72% Short interest (as % of float): 1.68% Analysts Covering: 23 High Price Target: $13 Low Price Target: $6
Photo: David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Potential to Drop: -22.34%
Closing Price (9/27): $11.95
Price Target: $9.28

YTD Change: +37.67%
Short interest (as % of float): 1.68%

Analysts Covering: 23
High Price Target: $13
Low Price Target: $6

Get PCS Real-Time Quote