Democrats such as Elizabeth Warren had their eye on business and the working class during the first 2020 presidential primary debate in Miami.2020 Electionsread more
The issue over health insurance marked the first stark divide among the candidates, and sparked a heated back-and-forth between many of the candidates on stage.Politicsread more
Huawei's legal chief told CNBC that the company makes "solutions for civil use."Technologyread more
Four candidates mentioned China — but none of the Democratic contenders brought up trade in the debate.Politicsread more
In a strategy to draw attention away from Wednesday's Democratic debate, President Donald Trump's reelection campaign bought out YouTube's "masthead," the leading...2020 Electionsread more
The Federal Aviation Administration said on Wednesday that is has found an issue with the Boeing 737 Max that the manufacturer must address before it lifts the grounding...Airlinesread more
The collapse of the deal potentially ended Sinclair's hopes of building a national conservative-leaning TV powerhouse that might have rivaled Fox News.Mediaread more
Huawei legal chief Song Liuping told CNBC that the company is in the "early phase" of talks with Verizon over paying royalties.Technologyread more
Virginia Sen. Mark Warner breaks down the idea behind a bipartisan bill he introduced to provide more transparency in Big Tech.Technologyread more
Tesla is working on new battery cell designs, and a way to make their own cells, with R&D teams in a lab near its car plant in Fremont, California.Technologyread more
Wi-Fi 6 will be the next-generation wireless standard. Along with 5G, it will represent the next big shift in connectivity and data, said Irving Tan, senior vice president and...Shaping the futureread more
The recent weak economic data from China "significantly increases" the risk of global deflation according to Societe Generale's uber-bearish strategist Albert Edwards, who argued that investors were ignoring the warning signs.
Edwards – who is known for his gloomy predictions about the global economy – said that China's first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data had been "virtually overlooked" by investors, but included important signs that declining prices were looming.
China's economy grew at an annualized 7.4 percent in the first quarter (Q1) of this year. This number was just above analyst expectations, but marked a slowdown from the 7.7 percent increase seen in the last quarter of 2013.
"China's Q1 GDP was highly significant, not for the headline slowdown in growth… but because economy-wide inflation slumped further towards outright deflation," Edwards wrote.
He highlighted the country's GDP deflator – a broader measure of domestic price trends, including investment goods, housing and exports, as well as consumer goods and services - dropped by 1.4 percentage points to 0.4 percent year-on-year.
Fears of deflation have been mooted in the euro zone, where consumer price inflation fell to a 52-month low of 0.5 percent in March. By contrast, China's annual consumer inflation was 2.1 percent last month.
"(This) may be giving investors an overly reassuring impression of underlying deflationary pressures in the Chinese economy overall," Edwards wrote.
Economists are concerned by deflation because it can push down demand, with people holding off purchases in the hope of more price declines. This, in turn, can lead to lower production and an economic slump – or even a depression.
Japan, for instance, suffered deflation during its "lost decade" between 1991 and 2000, when companies cut prices to revive lackluster demand, which in turn hit businesses' revenue and had a knock-on effect on the economy.
"Indeed, focusing on the consumer price index (CPI) in Japan, rather than the GDP deflator, would have underestimated the deflationary hurricane that was raging in Japan… Let us not make that mistake for China," Edwards added.
Risk of US deflation?
As the world's second-largest economy, the effects would be felt across the world if China slid into deflation – even in the U.S., Edwards warned.
"We have long banged the drum that deflationary developments in China would force renminbi devaluation and trigger outright deflation in the West," he said.
A slide in China's currency versus the dollar, for instance, would make Chinese products cheaper to import into the U.S. American producers might then cut prices to remain competitive and deflation could take hold.
Not everyone is concerned about global deflationary pressures, however.
Indeed, some strategists worry that the U.S. labor market might be tighter than currently thought, meaning wage growth could potentially push America into an inflationary danger zone.
"Inflation pressures are beginning to build. They're not at alarming levels right now, as inflation build-up is a process, but it's something that the Federal Reserve should be paying attention to," Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at the Lindsey Group, told CNBC earlier this month.
Furthermore, it's not the first time Edwards has made extremely bearish predictions on the global economy. In September 2012, he said the U.S. had already entered a recession and it wouldn't be long before the equity market reacted.
He also warned in July 2012 about an "ultimate" death cross for the S&P 500—where the 50-month moving average falls below the 200-month moving average. Since that call, the S&P has risen around 37 percent.