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Why Democrats are expected to lose, so badly: Pros

Looking at the data, there would seem to be every reason to think Democrats should make gains in Tuesday's midterm election, perhaps even sweep it.

Gas is below $3 a gallon nationally, the unemployment rate is now under 6 percent and the economy is growing around 3.5 percent.

These and other signs suggest the recovery is on solid ground and improving every day. That should help Democrats.


The U.S. Capitol.
Getty Images
The U.S. Capitol.

Yet in Tuesday's election, Democrats are expected to lose ground, with the GOP potentially taking the Senate and, in turn, controlling both houses of Congress.

On "Closing Bell" economist and CNBC contributor Jared Bernstein said the problem for Democrats involved the way in which the recovery unfolded. "There are a lot of people who aren't feeling the recovery. Hourly wages are growing at 2 percent, about the same rate as inflation."

Sara Fagen of DDC Advocacy, a CNBC contributor, added that more Americans are working more hours. Until the average worker feels as if the economy is improving and, therefore, their fortunes are improving, "they're going to punish the incumbents."

And as the polls close and the votes are counted, results are expected to reflect that sentiment.

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Also on "Closing Bell," Rep. Tom Price, R-Georgia, added that he feels the American people are frustrated with the gridlock in Washington. "That's what I think you'll see at the polls," he said.

Rep. Chris Van Hollen, D-Maryland, concurred that voters had grown tired of dysfunction, although he didn't agree with Price about the source of the dysfunction. "It has, however, ricocheted and hit the Democrats," he said.