While oil has remained relatively steady in the past month, oil stocks have been selling off. The energy ETF, the XLE, is down 5 percent in the past 30 trading sessions making it the worst performing sector in the S&P 500 over that period. And according to one trader, the sell-off could signal a near-term top in the commodity.
"I do think we've seen a bit of a top here," said David Seaburg, head of sales trading at Cowen and Company, referring to oil's massive move off its lows.
Crude oil has rallied 40 percent from its low in mid-March, and has settled into a trading range from $57 on the low end to $62 on the high end for the better part of the last two months. But while Seaburg expects crude oil to "come in" a little bit, he doesn't see it re-touching the lows.
But while the rally in crude may have lifted oil stocks, Seaburg says the rally in energy-related stocks may have been a bit too much, and as such, he's looking to take profits. By his reasoning, the recent sell off in the XLE is a natural reaction to it overshooting on the way up and shouldn't portend selling in oil itself.