With the Federal Reserve set to release its next policy statement Thursday, one trader says the closely watched event could make for one of the most volatile trading days off of Fed news in several years.
Susquehanna's head of derivative strategy, Stacey Gilbert, said the prices of S&P 500 options suggests a 2.25 percent move in the on the day of the day of the announcement. Stocks have seen sharp swings in recent weeks of up to 3 percent a day, but Gilbert said this move would be noteworthy as a direct reaction to the Fed.
"Not surprisingly, the options market is suggesting that the FOMC meeting could be potentially one of the most volatile that we've seen in years," Gilbert said Friday on CNBC's "Power Lunch." "There is a lot of uncertainty out there, the market's obviously pricing it in as a notable event, and investors are definitely looking for some sort of protection."
Gilbert said she's seen investors buying more "crash protection," or options positions that would profit from a massive drop in stocks.
"We haven't seen this increase in crash protection over the last couple years," Gilbert said. "Portfolio managers and investors are looking at portfolios and thinking, 'What if?' 'I want to be able to sleep at night.'"
Market watchers have speculated on the possibility of a rate hike announcement, although most traders now see that as less likely, particularly given recent market volatility.
Andrew Burkly of Oppenheimer said the Fed could put off raising interest rates into 2016, based on inflation expectations and falling crude oil prices.
"To me the risk is essentially it's longer, not sooner," he said Friday on "Power Lunch."
However, Burkly is betting on one sector that could be primed to benefit once the central bank does raise rates.
"Financials rates have been kind of sitting in a range right now. Even if they don't go next week, they are going to at some point relatively soon, and that should push up rates eventually, which would help the financial sector," he said.
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