In the campaign some supporters dreamed of, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky would be in the thick of the 2016 Republican presidential race right now.
He would have started with the significant organizational base that helped his father, Ron Paul, finish third in delegates won and fourth in votes received in the 2012 Republican nomination fight. And the younger Paul would have expanded on his father's appeal among libertarians through outreach to minority voters as well as younger ones.
There's no sign that it's worked so far.
Nationally, Paul ranks eighth among Republican candidates in the latest RealClearPolitics polling average with 2.7 percent. In Iowa, where his father finished third with 21 percent, Paul ranks ninth at 3.3 percent. In New Hampshire, where his father finished second with 22.9 percent, he's also ninth at 3.3 percent. In South Carolina, where his father finished fourth with 13 percent, he ranks 10th at 2 percent.