For stocks, it’s season versus reason: Trader

Stocks closed out the first week of December with a bang, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones industrial average each seeing their best days in almost three months. And while the Friday rally still left stocks flat on the week, some traders say this is evidence that the holiday season has markets ignoring some larger problems.

"Keep in mind, it's a battle of season over reason," technician Rich Ross of Evercore ISI said Friday on CNBC's "Trading Nation." "The opposing force that we have here which didn't keep markets down on Friday, clearly, is this ongoing erosion in the macro backdrop."

Ross said investors should still be concerned about the continued plunge in commodities prices, specifically in oil. Crude oil settled down almost 3 percent on Friday, ending the week below $40 a barrel. Following crude oil's decline, energy was the S&P 500's only negative sector Friday, sliding 0.5 percent.

Read More US oil ends 2.7% lower on OPEC decision, rig count

But as December has historically been the strongest month, Ross said he's betting on the side of seasonality for the time being.

"There is some risk there that is being overwhelmed by this otherwise very strong seasonality," he said. "[But] over time, stocks go up three out of four times in December over the last 65 years. I'll take those odds."

The tendency for seasonality to take over was supported on Friday by a lack of big events in the coming week, said Eddy Elfenbein of the "Crossing Wall Street" blog.

"We really don't have a lot to go in the way of economic reports or earnings reports, and I think everybody is going to be focused on the Fed meeting the following week," Elfenbein said Friday on "Trading Nation," looking to the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting on Dec. 15 and 16.

Read MoreJobs report says Fed can hike, but not so fast

The economy added 211,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in November, a number that topped expectations and signaled to some that the central bank will raise the federal funds rate at the December meeting. According to the CME's FedWatch Tool, traders see a 79 percent chance of a rate hike this month.

Want to be a part of the Trading Nation? If you'd like to call into our live Wednesday show, email your name, number and a question to TradingNation@cnbc.com

Videos

Trades to Watch

Trader Bios

About

Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Michael Santoli

Michael Santoli joined CNBC in October 2015 as a Senior Markets Commentator, based at the network's Global Headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J.  Santoli brings his extensive markets expertise to CNBC's Business Day programming, with a regular appearance on CNBC's “Closing Bell (M-F, 3PM-5PM ET).   In addition, he contributes to CNBCand CNBC PRO, writing regular articles and creating original digital videos.

Previously, Santoli was a Senior Columnist at Yahoo Finance, where he wrote analysis and commentary on the stock market, corporate news and the economy. He also appeared on Yahoo Finance video programs, where he offered insights on the most important business stories of the day, and was a regular contributor to CNBC and other networks.

Follow Michael Santoli on Twitter @michaelsantoli

Read more

Connect