This chip stock is due for a big dip: Trader

Chip stocks have been climbing, but one trader says this large-cap name is about to sink.

"I think Intel is overbought and due for a sell-off," Andrew Keene told CNBC's "Trading Nation" on Monday. The stock has surged 10 percent in the last month, making it one of the best performing Dow stocks during that time. "We've had this nice run off the low, but we are finding sellers here at $32."

For Keene, that is reminiscent of the activity seen around the $32 mark in January, before the stock took a leg lower. "I think that is going to serve as resistance," the founder of AlphaShark Trading said. "I think Intel is heading lower."

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Furthermore, Keene said that on the longer-term chart, Intel is hitting resistance at its 100-week moving average.

To play for the decline, Keene is buying the April 32/31 put spread for 25 cents each. This is a bearish strategy where a trader will buy a put and then sell a lower strike put of the same expiration to offset the cost. The goal is for the stock to fall to the strike you are short or in this case $31 by April expiration. That's more than 4 percent lower than where the stock is currently trading.

"If Intel can end up at $31 or lower, I can end up with 300 percent returns within three weeks," he said.

Wall Street analysts tend to disagree with Keene's thesis that Intel shares could fall — of the 44 that cover the stock, the average price target is $36.07 with an overweight rating.


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Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Sara Eisen

Sara Eisen joined CNBC in December 2013 as a correspondent, focusing on the global consumer. She is co-anchor of the 10AM ET hour of CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" (M-F, 9AM-11AM ET), broadcast from Post 9 at the New York Stock Exchange.

In March 2018, Eisen was named co-anchor of CNBC's "Power Lunch" (M-F, 1PM-3PM ET), which broadcasts from CNBC Global Headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J.

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