US economy's job pain is 'gold's gain': Trader

After falling more than 7 percent from its May high, gold is suddenly surging.

The precious metal rallied nearly 3 percent back above $1,245 after a soft jobs number had traders fleeing equities and running toward safe haven assets. The jump has Evercore ISI technical analyst Rich Ross betting that the yellow metal will head even higher for a number of reasons.

Read MoreWorried about the market after US jobs slump? You should be: Pro

First, May's lagging job numbers have given way to "collapsing odds of a Fed rate hike this summer," Ross explained Friday on CNBC's "Trading Nation." Gold has been under increasing pressure as a strong dollar and potential for a June hike has rattled investors. But with an interest rate hike later this month looking less and less likely, and the dollar index now trading near three-week lows, Ross believes gold will continue to rally.

Looking at a chart of the GLD exchange-traded fund (ETF), which tracks gold, Ross he expects the fund's gains to run as high as $122—possibly even up to $124 before encountering resistance levels.

"Today we gap open at that weak employment number. You're into resistance at the 50-day moving average, that comes in around $119," said Ross, outlining the GLD's recent highs and lows.

"Now ultimately, I think we retest the high of this range, that $115 to $122, just about at the high end with the peak at around $124." That would represent a more than 4 percent rise from current levels and puts the ETF at its highest point since January 2015.

"To sum it up, job's pain is gold's gain," he added.


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Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Sara Eisen

Sara Eisen joined CNBC in December 2013 as a correspondent, focusing on the global consumer. She is co-anchor of the 10AM ET hour of CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" (M-F, 9AM-11AM ET), broadcast from Post 9 at the New York Stock Exchange.

In March 2018, Eisen was named co-anchor of CNBC's "Power Lunch" (M-F, 1PM-3PM ET), which broadcasts from CNBC Global Headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J.

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