The rhetoric is clear—Fed will hike in June or July: Strategist

The dollar sell-off subsided Monday attempting to recover from a three-week low as investors await a speech from Fed Chair Janet Yellen that could provide clarity on the impending rate hike decision.

The greenback came under pressure Friday on the heels of a disappointing May jobs number, but according to one strategist investors should not yet discount the Fed.

"I think a lot of [the selling] is overdone at this point," Boris Schlossberg told CNBC's "Trading Nation" on Friday. The dollar index, which measures strength of the dollar against a basket of other major currencies, has lost more than 6 percent of its value since its 52-week high in December.

But the decline isn't affecting Schlossberg's opinion that the possibility of an interest rake hike in the next few weeks is very real. "The [jobs] numbers were horrid. … We all knew we were going to see a big swoop down because of the Verizon strike," said the managing director and head of FX strategy at BK Asset Management.

Furthermore, Schlossberg believes that unless there were to be another bad report or the economy were to severely deteriorate over the next 30 days, all signs point to a green light for Yellen.

"The most important thing is the Fed wants to create escape velocity from QE. They don't want to be the Bank of Japan in a permanent state of monetary easing," he said.

"The Fed's best chance to normalize policy is going to be June or July," added Schlossberg. "They have been very clear in their rhetoric that they want to normalize. … I think the Fed is still a go, and if that's the story I think the dollar is pretty much at lows at this point."


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Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Michael Santoli

Michael Santoli joined CNBC in October 2015 as a Senior Markets Commentator, based at the network's Global Headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J.  Santoli brings his extensive markets expertise to CNBC's Business Day programming, with a regular appearance on CNBC's “Closing Bell (M-F, 3PM-5PM ET).   In addition, he contributes to CNBCand CNBC PRO, writing regular articles and creating original digital videos.

Previously, Santoli was a Senior Columnist at Yahoo Finance, where he wrote analysis and commentary on the stock market, corporate news and the economy. He also appeared on Yahoo Finance video programs, where he offered insights on the most important business stories of the day, and was a regular contributor to CNBC and other networks.

Follow Michael Santoli on Twitter @michaelsantoli

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