Something big is about to happen in crude: Technician

Crude has almost doubled off its bottom from the beginning of this year, rising from $26 a barrel to over $50 and making energy one of 2016's best performing sectors on the S&P 500. One technician sees even more gains to come.

"I don't think the run is over," Rich Ross said Wednesday on CNBC's "Trading Nation." Energy stocks have rallied more than 14 percent this year.

Looking at a long-term chart of the XLE ETF that tracks the energy sector, Ross noted a recent break in a downtrend line that's been in place since 2009. "That's your first sign that the trend is turning," Evercore ISI's head of technical analysis said. Furthermore, he pointed to a big head and shoulders, which he expects to serve as a strong base of support.

"The key to the pattern is that neckline coming in right at current levels at $70," he said. "I think a breakout above that neckline, which I do anticipate, will generate a strong buy signal with significant upside signals from current levels, and that takes you higher in the XLE." The XLE briefly breached the $70 level Wednesday before falling into negative territory for the session.

"We continue to think crude goes higher, energy goes higher along with it, and this big head and shoulders base of support that you see here is going to provide the foundation for that next leg up," he added.


Trades to Watch

Trader Bios


Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Sara Eisen

Sara Eisen joined CNBC in December 2013 as a correspondent, focusing on the global consumer. She is co-anchor of the 10AM ET hour of CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" (M-F, 9AM-11AM ET), broadcast from Post 9 at the New York Stock Exchange.

In March 2018, Eisen was named co-anchor of CNBC's "Power Lunch" (M-F, 1PM-3PM ET), which broadcasts from CNBC Global Headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J.

Read more