Don’t expect the energy bounce to continue: Traders

Energy stocks were up in the just-ended second quarter, but experts say the rest of the year may not be so smooth.

"Right now, the options market is really suggesting that we're going to likely take a breather here," said Stacey Gilbert, head of derivative strategy at Susquehanna.

"Investors are more interested in protecting their gains so far," Gilbert said Thursday on CNBC's Power Lunch, citing the XLE energy ETF's 31 percent rise from the January lows, and 10 percent gain over the past quarter.

Some of the XLE's biggest components, says Gilbert — Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) — are seeing protective put buying. Both stocks were up 11 percent and 13 percent, respectively, in the second quarter.

Overall, said Gilbert, "I think investors are really just protecting some of the recent gains. It's not bearish, it's not bullish; it's protective."

Some experts say the energy sector may have seen its best performance for the year.

"The easy money, I think, has been made," said Nick Colas, chief market strategist at Convergex.

Colas says recent headwinds like the falling dollar, turbulence in the global economy and less money flowing into energy ETFs in the second quarter than the first may point to a more difficult rest of the year.

"We like the group," Colas said on "Power Lunch," "but it's going to be a much tougher slog in the second half versus the first."


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Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Michael Santoli

Michael Santoli joined CNBC in October 2015 as a Senior Markets Commentator, based at the network's Global Headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J.  Santoli brings his extensive markets expertise to CNBC's Business Day programming, with a regular appearance on CNBC's “Closing Bell (M-F, 3PM-5PM ET).   In addition, he contributes to CNBCand CNBC PRO, writing regular articles and creating original digital videos.

Previously, Santoli was a Senior Columnist at Yahoo Finance, where he wrote analysis and commentary on the stock market, corporate news and the economy. He also appeared on Yahoo Finance video programs, where he offered insights on the most important business stories of the day, and was a regular contributor to CNBC and other networks.

Follow Michael Santoli on Twitter @michaelsantoli

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