Middling economic data, a skittish consumer and the likelihood the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by year-end are all conspiring to drag stocks lower in the final months of 2016, strategists said Thursday.
Major U.S. averages were higher Thursday, but the S&P 500 is down about 1.8 percent over the past week. Stocks have been pressured in recent days by Fed rate hike uncertainty and rising long-term interest rates, which make equities look less attractive on a relative basis.
Now, strategists say a summertime rally that brought indexes to new highs has lost steam.
"I think we're at a point in time where the path of least resistance in this market is certainly lower and will be lower," Wunderlich Securities' chief market strategist, Art Hogan, told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" on Thursday.
Hogan said he's not expecting a full-blown sell-off, but a 5 to 10 percent pullback.
Despite lackluster economic data in recent weeks, the Fed still appears determined to raise interest rates once this year, he said. The market is focusing too much attention on a rate increase from "emergency levels," and will likely brush off the hike after it happens, Hogan said.
"That's just not pointing to stocks in the near term moving materially higher," he told "Squawk on the Street." "I think we really do need to see the data strengthen in order to support a further move higher."