- One analyst at Standard Chartered argues that right wing Republican candidate Francois Fillon could do unexpectedly well in Sunday's French presidential election first round
- Voters for right of center hopefuls Francois Fillon and Marine Le Pen are considered most likely to turn up at the polls
- Centrist En Marche! candidate Emmanuel Macron could have trouble pushing through reforms due to a lack of parliamentary support should he become president
With roughly thirty percent of the French electorate unsure as to who they will vote for in Sunday's first round of the presidential election, ambivalence and indecision could bring about an unexpected result.
Two candidates are known for having the most "sticky" voter base, Philippe
"If there's maybe one surprise that could upset the polls today, my gut feeling is that it could be coming from Fillon,"
He also argued that as far as the second round run-off goes, "It's very clear that the polls show that Fillon would have more difficulties to beat Le Pen than Macron, typically. But Fillon I'm very confident would still beat Le Pen, for sure."
But in practical terms, Macron is unlikely to be able to make legislative changes due to his totally new party's lack of parliamentary seats. If Macron wins the presidency, eyes will turn to parliamentary elections in June which could give him the majority needed to make changes.
Should Macron emerge as president of the Fifth Republic,