A new government analysis finds that the House's Obamacare replacement bill would lead to 10 million fewer people lacking health insurance in the next decade than had been estimated by the Congressional Budget Office — but also projects higher premiums for many customers of individual health plans.
The report was issued Tuesday, shortly after President Donald Trump reportedly told a group of 13 Republican senators that the House bill passed last month by the GOP majority was "mean," and that the version being drafted in the Senate should be "more generous."
The report from the Office of the Chief Actuary of the federal Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services says that by 2026 there would be 13 million more Americans without health insurance if it becomes law.
In contrast, the CBO estimated in its own report that 23 million more people would become uninsured by 2026 if the House's American Health Care Act is signed into law.
Paul Spitalnic, chief actuary of CMS, the agency that oversees Obamacare, also projected that fewer people would become uninsured next year, the first year the AHCA would take effect.
"In 2018, the number of uninsured is estimated to be about 4 million higher under the AHCA than under the current law, mainly due to the impact of repealing the individual mandate," which requires most Americans to have some form of health coverage, wrote Spitalnic.
CBO had estimated that 14 million more people would become uninsured next year if the Republican bill becomes law — 10 million more than estimated by the actuary for next year.
Both CMS and CBO estimated how many more people would lack health insurance than would be the case if Obamacare remained intact.
If Obamacare stays the law as is, an estimated 28 million people would be uninsured by 2026. In the actuary's report, a total of 41 million would be uninsured by that year if the AHCA is passed. CBO estimated the total will be 51 million.