×

A bear on the market's hottest stock, Nvidia, just threw in the towel because of a surprising reason

  • Nvidia shares have more than tripled in the last year, the best return of any stock in the S&P 500.
  • Pacific Crest raises its rating for the chip company to sector weight from underweight.
  • The stock is up about 45 percent through Monday since the firm's Nvidia downgrade in early April.

Wall Street doesn't like to admit to its mistakes, but Pacific Crest was forced to capitulate on its poorly timed downgrade of Nvidia after just over two months.

The firm raised its rating for the semiconductor company to sector weight from underweight due to rising cryptocurrency mining demand for its graphics cards.

"Meetings with desktop graphics card manufacturers indicated a sharp reversal in sales trends expected for the seasonally weaker 2Q, with surging demand from cryptocurrency miners in China and Eastern Europe," analyst Michael McConnell wrote in a note to clients Tuesday. "The sharp increase in demand from cryptocurrency miners has rapidly depleted excess channel inventory carried into the quarter."

McConnell retracted his previous $99 price target for Nvidia. The stock is up about 45 percent through Monday since the analyst's downgrade in early April.

AMD told CNBC in early June the "newly resurgent cryptocurrency mining markets" were driving demand for its graphics cards.

Ethereum cryptocurrency is up over 4,500 percent year to date through Monday, while bitcoin is up about 170 percent this year, according to data from industry website CoinDesk.

Cryptocurrency miners use graphics cards from AMD and Nvidia to "mine" new coins, which can then be sold or held for future appreciation.

"In terms of demand sustainability from the cryptocurrency market, desktop graphics card manufacturers are skeptical, referring to the one-quarter demand surge in 2013, which was followed by an inventory correction," McConnell wrote. "Most desktop graphics card manufacturers surveyed expect strong demand to last until late-July or August, but visibility is extremely low given the volatility in cryptocurrency prices."

Nvidia shares rallied 231 percent through Monday in the previous 12 months compared with the market's 18 percent return in that period. That performance ranks number one in the entire S&P 500, according to FactSet.

— CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this story.

WATCH: How practical is it to live on bitcoin in 2017? We tried it for a week

Videos

Trades to Watch

Trader Bios

About

Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Brian Sullivan

Brian Sullivan is co-anchor of CNBC's "Power Lunch" (M-F,1PM-3PM ET), one of the network's longest running programs, as well as the host of the daily investing program "Trading Nation." He is also a frequent guest on MSNBC's "Morning Joe" and other NBC properties.

Read more

Connect