There are no ‘expiration dates’ on bull markets, and a new S&P 500 target really is just days away, says Oppenheimer’s Stoltzfus

One of Wall Street's most bullish firms is back at the drawing board—in the process of revising its price target on the S&P 500 Index.

However, it's taking a lot longer than expected.

Back on June 26 on "Trading Nation," Oppenheimer Asset Management's John Stoltzfus said to expect a new price target within the "next three to five days." He made the declaration after the S&P 500 blasted through his year-end target of 2,450 more than six months early.

Then the days came and went with no hike. So, what happened?

"We wanted to just get a real sense of how second-quarter earnings season would come out," said Stoltzfus, the firm's chief investment strategist, on Friday. "So far, so good, we've got to say. So we're on the verge of coming up with our new target."

The S&P 500, which is on pace for its best month since February, just broke its three-week win streak by a fraction of a percent. It closed the week at 2,472 — which is still above Stoltzfus' 2,450 year-end price target.

"We've been sort of change pending," he added.

Stoltzfus now expects to push the button by next week, keeping his bullish stance intact.

He points out economic fundamentals are improving both here and abroad. Plus, Stoltzfus sees corporate revenues and earnings giving the markets a boost in the second half of the year.

As for the bull market's critics, he argued there aren't any 'expiration dates' on how long rallies last. Stoltzfus said the only thing that could sour the rally would be the Federal Reserve raising interest rates too quickly, or a black swan event.

"We don't see any black swan events that can interrupt the market right now," he said.

Stoltzfus says investors — with the exception of the bears — should be "pleasantly surprised."

Vote to see results
Total Votes:

Not a Scientific Survey. Results may not total 100% due to rounding.


Trades to Watch

Trader Bios


Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Michael Santoli

Michael Santoli joined CNBC in October 2015 as a Senior Markets Commentator, based at the network's Global Headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J.  Santoli brings his extensive markets expertise to CNBC's Business Day programming, with a regular appearance on CNBC's “Closing Bell (M-F, 3PM-5PM ET).   In addition, he contributes to CNBCand CNBC PRO, writing regular articles and creating original digital videos.

Previously, Santoli was a Senior Columnist at Yahoo Finance, where he wrote analysis and commentary on the stock market, corporate news and the economy. He also appeared on Yahoo Finance video programs, where he offered insights on the most important business stories of the day, and was a regular contributor to CNBC and other networks.

Follow Michael Santoli on Twitter @michaelsantoli

Read more