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The Dow is doing something it hasn’t done since the '80s, and it could signal new highs

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The Dow is doing something it hasn’t done since the 80s

The Dow Jones industrial average has not closed below its 200-day moving average for 472 sessions, its longest stretch since its streak from 1984 to 1987 and its seventh-best on record.

This time, the setup for markets looks a little different to times past, according to analyst Michael Bapis.

"Fundamentally it looks good, and that's what's different than many of these other periods where it has been above the 200-day moving average for so long," Bapis, partner and managing director at the Bapis Group at HighTower Advisors, told CNBC's "Trading Nation" on Monday. "Earnings are still strong, dividend yields are still high and the economy is really growing."

The first-quarter earnings season is drawing to a close with the strongest results in seven years as companies track a combined 26 percent increase to their bottom lines. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy is set to expand by 2.7 percent in 2018, 40 basis points above the 2017 growth rate.

While the Dow has not closed below its 200-day support level, it has tested it on an intraday basis, noted Ari Wald, head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer. The Dow broke below its ascending 200-day moving average in early April and, most recently, on May 3 and 4. It then bounced back.

"Since that successful test, which created a higher low, we've now reversed this trend of lower highs that we've been in since January," Wald said. "When you add it all up, we think this correction that we've been in since January is coming to an end and we think we're now set up for the inflection higher."

Its May low was higher than the one set in April. Monday's intraday high was the Dow's best since mid-March.

The Dow last hit a record high on Jan. 26. It remains nearly 7 percent below that all-time high. The blue-chip index has managed to reverse year-to-date lows and now trades slightly higher for 2018.

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