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Barclays sees 20 percent gain for Spotify, says it's reinventing how music is sold

Key Points
  • Spotify is likely to ramp up advertising as it seeks new ways to make money on music, Barclays said.
  • The firm issued an overweight rating on the stock and a price target of $210.
  • Shares of Spotify rose roughly 3 percent in early trading Tuesday, to a session high of $176.30.
A trader during the Spotify IPO at the New York Stock Exchange, April 3, 2018.
Lucas Jackson | Reuters

Spotify is reinventing the way music is sold and could gain upwards of 20 percent, analysts with Barclays said Tuesday.

"Our optimism around SPOT stems from the company's history of creating best-in-class products and user experience and innovating ahead of peers," Barclays analysts said in a note.

The firm issued an overweight rating on the stock and a price target of $210. Shares of Spotify gained 3 percent Tuesday to close at $175.98.

"We believe Spotify is under-monetizing its ad business in order to improve the customer experience and gain market share," Barclays wrote. But that's likely to change, as Spotify seeks new ways to make money on music, the analysts said.

"The revenue calculation of the music advertising business is nearly identical to online advertising names like Facebook and Google, " Barclays said.

Shares of Spotify are up 12 percent in the last 30 days and up roughly 30 percent from the reference price set as it listed shares on the New York Stock Exchange in April.

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Investing

Spotify subscribers to double to 150 million by 2020, Raymond James predicts

Key Points
  • The company's growth should carry the number of subscribers to 150 million from current levels around 75 million by 2020, analyst Justin Patterson says.
  • "We doubt Apple ever overtakes Spotify ever in music," he says. "Rather, the risk is that Apple slows Spotify's growth."
  • The analyst sees Spotify shares rallying 19 percent to $190 over the next 12 months.