Trade (but don’t trust) GE as Dow exit rally stretches into Day 2, technical analyst says

It’s a brave new world for General Electric on Day 2 outside the Dow. After getting beaten up and kicked out of the blue-chip index, its shares are now rallying to their best level in a month.

Step in with caution here, says one technical analyst.

“I might trade it, but I don’t trust it,” Rich Ross, head of technical analysis at Evercore, told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Tuesday. “Let’s manage your expectations here. There might be a trade in this stock, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves.”

GE is up close to 4 percent on Wednesday a day after a nearly 8 percent surge. Its stock had rallied on Tuesday, its first day out of the Dow, after CEO John Flannery announced a spinoff of its health-care business and an exit of its Baker Hughes stake.

Before this two-day rally, GE shares had plummeted to their worst levels since the financial crisis nearly a decade ago. It remains roughly half of where it traded a year ago.

“A bottom is a process; it’s not a price,” Ross said of whether GE’s worst days might be behind it. “You’ve moved sideways for the last four months here, setting up a potential double bottom at the tailend of this historic type collapse.”

Long-time GE investor and Susquehanna market strategist Stacey Gilbert says GE’s restructuring efforts are steps in the right direction but just the beginning.

“Kudos to Flannery for pulling the trigger and saying, ‘Alright we’re going to separate ourselves, the new GE is different than the old GE.’ It was a necessity,” Gilbert said on Tuesday’s “Trading Nation.” “This is a longer-term trade. The quick fixes are not happening overnight.”

To hedge against potential volatility during GE’s turnaround, Gilbert suggests taking advantage of the protection offered by options.

“Options are actually elevated, just given the volatility and the movements that we have seen,” she said. “Investors can pick entry points, they can pick exit points versus their long stock position, and I do like that particularly since longer term, I do like the story, but I think it will take a while to play out.”

GE shares are down 18 percent this year and 48 percent over the past 12 months. The S&P 500’s industrials sector, which houses GE, has dropped 4 percent in 2018.

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Trading Nation is a multimedia financial news program that shows investors and traders how to use the news of the day to their advantage. This is where experts from across the financial world – including macro strategists, technical analysts, stock-pickers, and traders who specialize in options, currencies, and fixed income – come together to find the best ways to capitalize on recent developments in the market. Trading Nation: Where headlines become opportunities.

Michael Santoli

Michael Santoli joined CNBC in October 2015 as a Senior Markets Commentator, based at the network's Global Headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J.  Santoli brings his extensive markets expertise to CNBC's Business Day programming, with a regular appearance on CNBC's Closing Bell (M-F, 3PM-5PM ET). In addition, he contributes to CNBC and CNBC PRO, writing regular articles and creating original digital videos.

Previously, Santoli was a Senior Columnist at Yahoo Finance, where he wrote analysis and commentary on the stock market, corporate news and the economy. He also appeared on Yahoo Finance video programs, where he offered insights on the most important business stories of the day, and was a regular contributor to CNBC and other networks.

Follow Michael Santoli on Twitter @michaelsantoli

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