Blackstone Executive Vice Chairman Tony James says he's less optimistic now than before that the U.S.-China trade war could be resolved, but even a smaller deal could help...World Economyread more
The massive market transformation this month that some on Wall Street called a "once in a decade opportunity" might have just been a one-off technical move because of taxes.Marketsread more
The Pentagon will deploy U.S. forces to the Middle East on the heels of the attack on Saudi Arabian oil facilities, United States Secretary of Defense Mark Esper announced...Defenseread more
CNBC did a deep dive through the most recent Wall Street research to find stocks that analysts say are underappreciated.Marketsread more
Shares of MasterCard are up 46% this year, and 1120% since 2011, getting a boost from the strong U.S. consumer.Investingread more
CNBC sat in on an "empathy training" at Amazon PillPack's Somerville offices, which is part of new hire orientation.Technologyread more
Trade with China is the 'big unknown' for the Federal Reserve as it decides how best to support the U.S. economy, says Council on Foreign Relations Director of International...Futures Nowread more
Lobbying experts said the visit is likely an attempt to be in lawmakers' ears as they consider legislation that would impact Facebook.Technologyread more
Yardeni Research's Edward Yardeni believes the U.S. economy is picking up steam.Trading Nationread more
Iran's audacious drone and cruise missile attack on Saudi Arabia's oil producing facilities has provided a critical test yet for the Trump administration's foreign policy. A...Politicsread more
"Interest rates are still low by historical standards, and they remain just below the broad range of estimates of the level that would be neutral for the economy — that is, neither speeding up nor slowing down growth," Powell told the Economic Club of New York in a speech being closely watched in what has become a volatile financial marketplace.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note crept higher to 3.061 percent at 4:56 p.m. ET, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond climbed to 3.347 percent. The 2-year Treasury note yield, which is impacted to a greater extent by changes in Fed policy, dropped 2 basis point to 2.813 percent.
The fall in short-term rates contributed to a steeping of the yield curve. The spread between the 2-year yield and the 10-year yield rose to 24 basis points from recent lows near 20.
Powell's address came a day after Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida said something similar, that interest rates are "much closer" to a level that neither stimulates nor restricts growth.
Some central bank officials, including Powell and Clarida, have underscored the importance of the Fed's reliance on financial data when debating further increases to the overnight rate. Weakness in financial markets both in the U.S. and overseas have led some investors to wonder whether Fed members may temper the pace of their rates hikes.
"Powell's speech to the economic club of New York was a bit dovish," Jon Hill, rates strategist at BMO Capital Markets, wrote in an email. "One key point that we're focusing on is that that rates are 'just below' the neutral range. ... However, Powell's note that financial stability has a more integral role for monetary policy suggests a desire to at least continue the hiking path to remove an accommodative stance."
The chairman's October observation that rates were "a long way" from neutral helped spark a turbulent period on Wall Street over the last month. The major stock indexes dipped into correction territory and angst mounted that more rate hikes could derail the economic growth of the past two years.
Lukewarm inflation, a steep drop in oil prices and dwindling effects from President Donald Trump's tax cuts have also added to concerns that the robust economic growth in the U.S. over the past year may be coming to a end.
"I think given the volatility we've seen in the equity market and some signals of slowing growth globally and domestically, that the Fed can be a little bit more relaxed with its approach in getting toward it's neutral rate," said Gary Pollack, head of fixed-income trading at Deutsche Bank Private Wealth Management.
Though the central bank did not adjust its plans for further rate hikes when stocks pulled back in February, Pollack said that a decline in inflation expectations and continued contraction in global growth may be enough to soften monetary policy hawks.
Still, other Fed members points to an unemployment rate under 4 percent and burgeoning GDP figures as early evidence of an overheating economy and grounds to goad borrowing costs higher. The Federal Open Market Committee — which seeks to control inflation and maximize employment — has hiked the federal funds rate three times so far this year, emboldened by stronger gross domestic product data and hot jobs numbers.
"It seems that there is a little bit of a softening in his tone from his previous comment, which the market is taking as a sign that rate hikes are going to be slower than anticipated," said Putri Pascualy, managing director for PAAMCO. "However I'd be cautious about reading too much into that. Yes, he's tempered his tone, but if you read the statement, he talks a lot about how things are quite strong."
The current federal funds rate rose to 2.25 percent when the FOMC voted to bump the rate on September 26, 2018. Both the Fed and markets anticipate a fourth rate hike in December.
Ahead of the chairman's speech, President Trump said to the Washington Post that he wasn't "even a little bit happy" with his appointment of Powell as the Fed's Chair, adding that he thought the central bank's recent actions were "way off-base."
The U.S. Treasury auctioned $32 billion 7-year notes at a high yield of 2.974 percent. The bid-to-cover ratio, an indicator of demand, was . Indirect bidders, which include major central banks, were awarded xx percent. Direct bidders, which includes domestic money managers, bought xx percent.
Elsewhere, trade continues to keep investors on edge. Ahead of a Group of 20 summit in Argentina later this week, Trump told the Wall Street Journal in an interview published Monday that it was "highly unlikely" that the U.S. would delay from increasing tariff levels to 25 percent, in regards to $200 billion worth of Chinese goods.
Trade fears however eased on Tuesday, after White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said that the administration had resumed talks with China "at all levels." The summit, set to take place on Friday and Saturday, is expected to see both Trump and China's Xi Jinping present.