Top Stories
Top Stories

TREASURIES-U.S. long-dated yields fall in holiday-shortened week

Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, April 15 (Reuters) - U.S. long-dated Treasury yields fell from four-week highs on Monday in choppy trading, ahead of U.S. data in a holiday-shortened week that will give some guidance on whether the world's largest economy could tip into recession in the near future. Financial markets are closed on Friday for the Good Friday holiday. After hitting a roughly 14-month low around late March, U.S. benchmark 10-year and 30-year yields have risen about 17 and 16 basis points respectively. "I think you will see that by the end of the week all these fears about a near-term recession that was so prevalent a few months ago will largely vanish," Stan Shipley, fixed income strategist at Evercore ISI in New York, said. "For now, we're sort of in a standstill until we see how the data this week turns out," he added. U.S. retail sales and housing data are due this week and Shipley believes those numbers will show a far more stable economy than many initially thought. Shipley said that the Treasury market has lagged the recovery seen in other markets such as stocks and commodities fueled by improved sentiment about U.S. economic prospects. In due course, U.S. yields will rise, he added. Due to the short week, liquidity and activity are likely on the light side, analysts said. "As a result, it follows that we will continue to monitor risk asset performance to provide incremental trading guidance for the Treasury market, at least for the moment," BMO Capital Markets said in a research note. "In that vein, the start to earnings season was rather impressive as the banks appear to be doing relatively well, adding to some upward pressure on the equity market as the S&P 500 nears a return to record levels," it added. In late morning trading, U.S. 10-year note yields slipped to 2.557%, down from 2.56% late on Friday. Yields on U.S. 30-year bonds were also lower at 2.967% , down from 2.971% on Friday. On the short end of the curve, U.S. 2-year yields edged up to 2.399%, compared with Friday's 2.396%.

April 15 Monday 10:36AM New York / 1436 GMT

Price Current NetYield % Change


Three-month bills 2.3825 2.4294 -0.012Six-month bills 2.39 2.452 -0.012Two-year note 99-186/256 2.3936 -0.002Three-year note 99-176/256 2.3586 0.000Five-year note 98-220/256 2.3702 -0.005Seven-year note 98-176/256 2.4563 -0.01010-year note 100-164/256 2.5507 -0.00930-year bond 100-200/256 2.9603 -0.011


Last (bps) Net

Change (bps)

U.S. 2-year dollar swap 9.75 0.00


U.S. 3-year dollar swap 6.75 0.25


U.S. 5-year dollar swap 3.25 0.25


U.S. 10-year dollar swap -1.25 0.50


U.S. 30-year dollar swap -24.50 0.50


(Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss Editing by Susan Thomas)