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If Tim Cook is right about China turning its economy around, these stocks could be next to benefit

Key Points
  • Tim Cook said Chinese stimulus programs including the value-added tax reduction helped revive Apple's slowing business in China.
  • "The one that got the most visibility that happened in early April was the [value-added tax] reduction from 16% to 13%, so it was a very aggressive move. But there are other stimulus programs as well that likely have an effect at the consumer level," Cook said.
  • U.S. companies with a major China footprint including Skyworks Solutions, Broadcom, Micron Technology and Intel could also see a pop in their stocks if their performance in China improves.
Apple CEO Tim Cook attends the annual session of China Development Forum (CDF) 2018 at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing, China March 26, 2018.
Jason Lee | Reuters

Apple's China business has made a U-turn thanks to the stimulus programs the Chinese government injected into the economy, according to Tim Cook. Other U.S. companies with a big China presence could also follow with good news, if the Apple CEO is right.

Cook's upbeat comment on China sent Apple shares surging despite slowing global iPhone sales. During the earnings call, the CEO pointed out that the value-added tax reduction in China as well as the "improved trade dialogue" between the U.S. and China helped lift consumer confidence.

"The one that got the most visibility that happened in early April was the [value-added tax] reduction from 16% to 13%, so it was a very aggressive move. But there are other stimulus programs as well that likely have an effect at the consumer level," Cook said.

Last year, China suffered the slowest economic growth since 1990, which forced the government to impose a series of fiscal and monetary stimulus measures. One of them was a nearly $300 billion tax cut for companies in the manufacturing, transportation and construction sectors.

Apple said fiscal third-quarter revenue could rise to $54.5 billion partly because of improved performance in China, above a $51.94 billion consensus analyst estimate. That is a sharp reversal from January when the company slashed its revenue guidance, citing slowing iPhone sales in China.

The tech giant could just be one of the many companies getting a boost from the turnaround in the Chinese economy.

U.S. companies with a major China footprint are focused in tech including Skyworks Solutions, Broadcom, Micron Technology and Intel, according to HSBC.

Their stocks will likely see a pop if their performance in China also improves. Skyworks, an Apple supplier, lowered its 2019 guidance in January, citing weakness across its largest smartphone customers. The company is set to release its first-quarter results Thursday.

Intel released a weaker-than-expected revenue forecast for 2019 last week, sending the stock down as much as 7% that day despite the earnings beat. The company said its sales in the data center group unit got hit by weakness in China. CEO Bob Swan said customers in China had "absolutely" bought extra chips last year due to fears of an accelerated trade war, according to Reuters.

Qualcomm recently made peace with Apple, settling all their patent disputes after two years of bitter legal battles. The company's stock surged more than 20% following the announcement. Qualcomm is slated to report quarterly numbers following the bell on Wednesday after issuing a strong guidance in January.

Like Cook, many policymakers and investors including BlackRock CEO Larry Fink and Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon also believe the Chinese stimulus programs are paying off.