Davos WEF
Davos WEF

Trump says GDP would be near 4% and the Dow could be 10,000 points higher if it weren't for the Fed

Key Points
  • President Donald Trump said U.S. economic growth would be closer to 4% if it weren't for the lingering effect of Federal Reserve rate hikes.
  • "But we had Boeing. We had the big strike with General Motors. We had things happen that are very unusual to happen," Trump told CNBC's Joe Kernen.
  • "Now, with all of that, had we not done the big raise on interest, I think we would have been close to 4%," Trump said. "And I – I could see 5,000 to 10,000 points more on the Dow."
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President Trump: US economic growth will be higher than 2 percent, but I'm not thrilled about it

President Donald Trump told CNBC on Wednesday that U.S. economic growth would have been closer to 4% if it weren't for the lingering effect of Federal Reserve rate hikes.

"That was a big blip that should not have taken place. It should not have happened. But it's one of those things. But we had Boeing. We had the big strike with General Motors. We had things happen that are very unusual to happen," Trump told CNBC's Joe Kernen in an interview from the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

The president also suggested that the stock market would be even higher than its already record-setting highs if the Fed hadn't raised rates so quickly before cutting them three times during 2019.

"Now, with all of that, had we not done the big raise on interest, I think we would have been close to 4%," Trump said of the U.S. gross domestic product. "And I – I could see 5,000 to 10,000 points more on the Dow. But that was a killer when they raised the rate. It was just a big mistake."

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Watch the full CNBC interview with US President Donald Trump from Davos

The president has repeatedly taken the Fed and its chair, Jerome Powell, to task for raising rates too quickly, in his view. Trump nominated Powell to the role in November 2017, and the Fed raised rates four times in 2018.

The president's remarks Wednesday echoed those his top economic advisor Larry Kudlow made to CNBC on Tuesday, when he predicted 3% growth in U.S. GDP in 2020.

"This is a long cycle, and what you've got here in the Trump years is essentially a mini upcycle," Kudlow said Tuesday. "You've gone from 1.5% to 2% growth. We had it going at almost 4%, then the Fed tightened."

Manufacturing and trade data released this month suggested the American economy ended 2019 on a strong note. The economy is expected to grow more than 2% in the fourth quarter. That would represent a slowdown from the 2.9% increase in 2018, and 2% growth would still suggest the decade-old expansion is set to continue into this pivotal election year.

President Donald Trump speaks with CNBC at the 2020 World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 22nd, 2020.
Adam Galica | CNBC

The Trump interview came hours after the first full day of impeachment proceedings wrapped up in the Senate and a day after Trump gave a speech to the World Economic Forum in which he boasted about U.S. economic gains under his watch.

Several observers said the address sounded like a campaign speech in his 2020 reelection bid.

From a policy standpoint, Trump stood firm on his use of tariffs in trade negotiations, particularly as his administration looks to follow its so-called phase one trade deal with China with a second-phase pact. This stance has made business leaders in Davos skeptical that the two nations would reach an agreement before Trump's first term is up in a year.

—CNBC's Thomas Franck contributed to this article.

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Economic growth will hit 3% in 2020, says Trump economic advisor Larry Kudlow