ENGLEWOOD CLIFFS, N.J., May 6, 2020 – CNBC and Change Research today announced the results of their latest joint "States of Play" poll, conducted May 1st – May 3rd.
CNBC and Change Research polled over 3,500 anticipated general election voters from six major battleground states (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin), as well as over 1,400 anticipated general election voters nationally, to determine economic sentiment amongst voters. The poll finds voters are increasingly negative and pessimistic in their assessments of the national economy and national job market; however, at the same time, their assessments of their own job security and personal finances have rebounded to pre-COVID crisis levels measured in early March, with major differences seen based on political affiliation.
Key findings from the CNBC/Change Research "States of Play" poll conducted May 1-3, 2020 include:
· Voters in battleground states are still largely worried about COVID-19 with 68% indicating concern about the threat, but that is down nearly twenty points from a CNBC/Change Research poll taken a month ago. Concern is not evenly split between those self-identifying as Democrat and those self-identifying as Republican, with Democrats showing more alarm than Republicans and independent voters falling somewhere in between.
· The majority of voters in battleground states are indicating confidence about their own job security (with 69% rating their job security as "good" or "excellent,") and personal finances (with 67% rating their personal finances as "good" or "excellent.") However, they are much less optimistic about the U.S. economy overall, with 76% saying the U.S. economy is "not so good" or "poor."
· Regardless of political affiliation, one area battleground state voters universally agree upon is relief money. Across party lines, voters increasingly support the idea of individuals receiving continued relief checks, with 51% "strongly approving" additional direct deposits made to individuals, as well as stricter criteria for small business loans, which 84% noted should be implemented.
· Re-opening continues to be split by political affiliation in battleground states. Republican voters were more eager to re-open quickly and take fewer health precautions than Democrat voters. 81% of Democrats expressed "very serious concerns" about reopening the economy too soon, while only 9% of Republicans noted the same.
· While voter's confidence in science is still very strong, it appears to be on the wane. Dr. Anthony Fauci, who received a 90% approval rating in a CNBC/Change Research poll taken just month prior, has now dropped to 68%. Doctors and medical professionals in general have also received increasingly lower marks over the last two months, now 88% down from 96% a month prior.
CNBC Washington D.C. Correspondents Eamon Javers and Kayla Tausche will reveal the results of the CNBC/Change Research "States of Play Poll" today, Wednesday, May 6th throughout CNBC's Business Day programming. For more information on the survey including the full results and methodology and in-depth articles, go to: https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-4.
Between May 1-3, 2020, Change Research surveyed 1,489 likely general election voters nationally and 3,544 likely general election voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The margin of error as traditionally calculated among the national sample is ±2.54% and among the battleground sample is ±1.65%. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. Its Dynamic Online Sampling establishes and continuously rebalances advertising targets across region, age, gender, race, and partisanship to dynamically deliver large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. In the national survey, post-stratification was done on gender, age, region, education, race, and 2016 presidential vote. In the survey of battleground states, post-stratification was done on state, gender, age, race, education, and 2016 presidential vote.
For additional methodological information, visit https://www.changeresearch.com/methodology-and-accuracy.
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About Change Research:
Change Research provides fast, affordable, and accurate technology-based polling across the country. Since launching in July of 2017, Change Research has conducted over 1,000 polls for candidates, media, and causes at all levels and budgets, surveying nearly 2 million people.
Learn more at www.changeresearch.com and find some of our recent public poll results on Twitter @changepolls.