Latest CNBC/Change Research Poll Shows Biden Holds Lead over Trump in Battleground States as COVID-19 Concerns Rise
ENGLEWOOD CLIFFS, N.J., July 1, 2020 – CNBC and Change Research today announced the results of their latest joint "States of Play" poll, conducted June 26th – June 28th.
The poll finds Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by six points (50% to 44%) in the six major battleground states (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin). This is up three points since the most recent CNBC/Change Research poll, conducted two weeks prior. Biden has a national lead of eight points (49% Biden, 41% Trump).
Meanwhile, battleground voters are increasingly concerned about the impact of COVID-19, up fourteen points since two weeks earlier, with 55% now saying things are getting worse. The number one factor battleground voters blame for the recent uptick in coronavirus hospitalizations is President Donald Trump (35%), followed by people not wearing masks (34%), states reopening too quickly (32%), and people not social distancing (29%).
CNBC and Change Research polled over 3,700 anticipated general election voters from the six previously noted battleground states, as well as over 1,660 anticipated general election voters nationally, to determine economic sentiment amongst voters. Additional key findings from the most recent CNBC/Change Research "States of Play" poll include:
CNBC Washington D.C. Correspondents Eamon Javers and Kayla Tausche will reveal the results of the CNBC/Change Research "States of Play Poll" today, Wednesday, July 1st throughout CNBC's Business Day programming. CNBC Washington D.C. Reporter Ylan Mui will additionally cover on-air tomorrow, Thursday, July 2nd.
For more information on the survey including the full results and methodology and in-depth articles, go to: https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-8.
Between June 26-28, 2020, Change Research surveyed 1,663 likely general election voters nationally and 3,729 likely general election voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The margin of error as traditionally calculated among the national sample is ±2.4% and among the battleground sample is ±1.6%. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. Its Dynamic Online Sampling establishes and continuously rebalances advertising targets across region, age, gender, race, and partisanship to dynamically deliver large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. In the national survey and the survey of battleground states, post-stratification was done on gender, age, region, education, race, and 2016 presidential vote.
For additional methodological information, visit www.changeresearch.com/methodology.
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