Metals

Gold drops as dollar, yields rise on stronger US jobs data

Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Russia on September 15, 2023.
Alexander Manzyuk | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images

Gold prices slipped on Friday as the dollar and yields jumped following a strong U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, which created some uncertainty about whether the Federal Reserve might start cutting interest rates soon.

Spot gold was down 0.8% to $2,038.59 per ounce, but prices were up 0.6% for the week and have held above the key $2,000 area since the start of the year. U.S. gold futures fell 0.7% to $2,0557.10.

The dollar index was 0.5% higher, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. Benchmark 10-year bond yields also gained.

U.S. employers added 353,000 jobs in January, beating the 180,000 jobs economists had expected. A resilient economy and strong worker productivity encouraged businesses to hire and retain more employees, a trend that could shield the economy from a recession this year.

With a decline of less than 1% since the data, gold is "holding on like a barnacle despite a whopper of an employment report," said Tai Wong, a New York-based independent metals analyst.

"But we might need to wait a little and see if gold grinds much lower," added Wong.

According to the CME Fed Watch Tool, traders now expect about a 78% chance of a U.S. rate cut in May, compared to 92% before the data. Lower interest rates boost non-yielding bullion's appeal.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell this week dismissed the idea of lowering interest rates in the spring, but voiced confidence that inflation would return to the 2% target.

"If these (interest) rates stay where they are and there is a lack of clarity around that, what we'll likely see is a rather muted environment for the upside for gold," said WGC market strategist Joseph Cavatoni.

Among other precious metals, spot silver lost 2% to $22.6715 per ounce, platinum fell 2.5% to $890.6666 and palladium was down 1.6% at $946.6762