Treasury yields fall as investors weigh the 2024 outlook for interest rates
U.S. Treasury yields fell Wednesday, as investors considered the outlook for monetary policy and financial markets for the coming year.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury dropped nearly 10 basis points to 3.789%. The 2-year Treasury yield edged down 5 basis points to 4.238%.
Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point equals 0.01%.
Treasurys
| TICKER | COMPANY | YIELD | CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
| US1M | U.S. 1 Month Treasury | 5.37% | +0.009 |
| US3M | U.S. 3 Month Treasury | 5.396% | UNCH |
| US6M | U.S. 6 Month Treasury | 5.389% | -0.001 |
| US1Y | U.S. 1 Year Treasury | 5.211% | +0.008 |
| US2Y | U.S. 2 Year Treasury | 4.948% | +0.015 |
| US10Y | U.S. 10 Year Treasury | 4.467% | -0.008 |
| US30Y | U.S. 30 Year Treasury | 4.573% | -0.007 |
In the last week of trading for 2023, investors considered the path ahead for interest rates and how this could impact the U.S. economy and financial markets.
Earlier this month, the Federal Reserve indicated that interest rates will be cut three times next year, with further reductions expected in 2025 and 2026, as inflation has "eased over the past year."
Many investors have interpreted recent economic data, including the November U.S. personal consumption expenditure price index, as a sign that the Fed would be able to stick to its monetary policy expectations for next year.
But uncertainty lingers over when the central bank will start cutting rates, although traders are pricing in a more than 70% chance of cuts at the March meeting, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.