Money in Motion

Andrew Busch

Andrew Busch
Andrewbusch.com Publisher

Andrew B. Busch is the founder of andrewbusch.com, a research and consulting firm.

Busch has appeared for the last three years on CNBC's "Closing Bell" with Maria Bartiromo and is a CNBC contributor. He is regularly quoted in The Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Dow Jones, The Associated Press and The Globe and Mail.

Previously, he was the global currency and public policy strategist for BMO Capital Markets, the investment and corporate banking arm of BMO Financial Group. Busch is a senior fellow on economic issues for the Illinois Policy Institute and an American Action Forum Expert.

He consults with the staffs from the U.S. Treasury, Congress, and the White House on economic and financial market issues; he has met and advised the last three U.S. Treasury secretaries, including Tim Geithner. Busch also was an advisor on the economy and the financial markets to Republican presidential candidate John McCain.

Busch is a recognized expert on the world financial markets and how these markets are affected by political events. He spoke at the Pacific Economic Conference in Russia on the global credit crisis, and met and consulted with the governor of Primorsky Territory and the mayor of Vladivostok over the future direction of the Russian economy.

He is a prolific writer whose views appear daily in his newsletter, the Busch Update; monthly, he writes the Busch GPS: Global Political Strategy; and his book, "World Event Trading: How to Analyze and Profit From Today's Headlines," has been translated into Mandarin and Japanese.

He joined BMO Financial Group in 1990 in the foreign exchange trading room of Harris Trust and Savings Bank, which merged with Bank of Montreal's room in 1995. Prior to joining Harris, Busch traded foreign exchange at Northern Trust Company.

Busch graduated Phi Beta Kappa with a B.A. in economics from Ohio Wesleyan University and received his MBA from the University of Chicago.

Follow Andrew Busch on Twitter @abusch.


  • Andrew Busch

    It seems there is a global effort to exacerbate the problems and worries of the world. Let's start in Japan where Prime Minister Taro Aso said today that people should not be over-concerned about daily movements in Japanese share prices, after the benchmark Nikkei average fell to a 5-year low.

  • Actually, the bad news started yesterday with Argentina nationalizing their pension funds. The government's seizure of $29 billion of private pension funds has heightened concerns of a return to 2001 policies and a default on their bonds.

  • Andrew Busch

    I was thinking about that $43 billion withdrawn from hedge funds in the September quarter. I think I failed to extend the thought. If hedge funds are 4 times levered, the $43 billion becomes $172 billion in securities that had to be sold for the redemptions.

  • Andrew Busch

    The extreme moves in the emerging markets had a very distinct feel of forced sales due to margin calls or redemption calls. With the Brazilian stock market closing after a drop of 10% and the currency vanishing, we are experiencing a evaporation of liquidity as flows go all in one direction.

  • After the UK took controlling interest in their 3 largest banks, the management of those companies is coming under scrutiny.

  • Andrew Busch

    Today, the US Treasury, the Federal Reserve, and the FDIC announced measures to stabilize the financial markets, to build capital to increase the flow of financing to U.S. businesses and consumers, and to support the U.S. economy.

  • Clearly, these aggressive actions should temporarily arrest the free fall that equities have been in and ease the uncertainty over deposits and bank lending. Interbank lending has been frozen and non-bank lending is almost non-existent.

  • As an example of why credit remains locked, overnight Japan's Yamato Life Insurance failed with debt of about 270 billion yen. Moody's has downgraded both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.

  • On the opening of New York trading, central banks from 6 major countries cut interest rates by 50 basis points, with Japan and Norway not participating. This is another piece of the puzzle to stabilize the financial markets. I believe these central banks acted in concert to address the continued deterioration in lending and the further tightening of credit.

  • Andrew Busch

    The credit crisis has now moved well beyond lack of liquidity to an extreme lack of confidence in the structure of the financial markets. Longer term, I believe this structure will devolve back to the 1980s...