(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
Oct 8 - Standard & Poor's investment-grade composite spread tightened by 3 basis points (bps) to 184 bps Friday, and the speculative-grade composite spread tightened by 8 bps to 606 bps. By rating, the 'AA', 'A', and 'BBB' spreads tightened by 3 bps each to 122 bps, 156 bps, and 225 bps, respectively. The 'BB' spread tightened by 7 bps to 414 bps, the 'B' spread tightened by 8 bps to 630 bps, and the 'CCC' spread tightened by 3 bps to 1,003 bps.
By industry, financial institutions contracted by 4 bps to 264 bps, and banks contracted by 6 bps to 255 bps. Industrials and utilities contracted by 3 bps each to 267 bps and 193 bps, respectively, and telecommunications contracted by 5 bps to 288 bps.
The investment-grade and speculative-grade spreads are both down from their highs reached last October. The investment-grade composite spread is lower than both its one-year moving average of 211 bps and its five-year moving average of 246 bps. The speculative-grade composite spread is lower than both its one-year moving average of 673 bps and its five-year moving average of 752 bps. We expect continued volatility in the near term, especially in the speculative-grade segment, which could result from both positive and negative factors. On the positive side, we expect U.S. corporate defaults to remain below the long-term average in the short term. On the negative side, an increase in volatility in the financial markets, influenced by weakening economic conditions, could continue to weigh on risky assets.
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. (New York Ratings Team)