- Domestic demand in the region could rise by nearly 7 percent next year, up from 4-5 percent this year
- Export figures suggest the worst could be over; South Korea’s exports rose a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 53 percent in the first quarter
- Taiwan’s exports grew 29 percent in the first quarter
- China’s industrial production rose by an annualized 25 percent in the first quarter, and the economy is forecast to grow 8 percent this year
What accounts for the bounce? Much of it has to do with the fiscal stimulus efforts in the region: China, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Malaysia have all delivered packages of 4 percent or more of GDP for this year — twice as much as the U.S. stimulus.
The efforts to jump-start the economy could work better in Asia, too, because of lower corporate and household debt, so any money given to consumers will more likely be spent than saved.
Asia can be accessed through a number of single-country funds such as:
iShares MSCI Hong Kong Index
iShares MSCI South Korea Index
iShares MSCI Singapore Index
iShares MSCI Taiwan
iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
If you’re finding it a challenge to choose the one country that could outperform, a broad Asia ETF, such as the PowerShares FTSE RAFI Asia Pacific ex-Japan, might fit the bill. A simple way to determine the current trend of these ETFs is to look at their individual 200-day moving averages.
Tom Lydon is the editor of ETF Trends and author of iMoney: Profitable ETF Strategies for Every Investor.