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Will the Markets Heat Up for the Summer?

The S&P 500 seems to enjoy the summer most, up an avg of 3.7% from Memorial Day to Labor Day. Here are the summer stats for the Dow, S&P and NASDAQ:

Dow since 1900:

  • Week of Memorial Day:
    • Avg. loss of -0.14%
    • Up 48% of the time, with an avg gain of 0.95%
    • Down 52% of the time, with an avg loss of -1.13%
    • Biggest gain 3.82% in 1988
    • Biggest drop -5.75% in 1932
  • 1 Month after Memorial Day:
    • Avg. gain of 0.31%
    • Up 51% of the time, with an avg gain of 4.12%
    • Down 49% of the time, with an avg loss of -3.72%
    • Biggest gain 22.9% in 1938
    • Biggest drop -18.9% in 1930
  • Memorial Day to Labor Day:
    • Avg. gain of 2.9%
    • Up 62% of the time, with an avg gain of 8.4%
    • Down 38% of the time, with an avg loss of -6.1%
    • Biggest gain 61.7% in 1932
    • Biggest drop -16.9% in 1974

S&P since 1928:

  • Week of Memorial Day:
    • Avg. loss of -0.1%
    • Up 42% of the time, with an avg gain of 1.21%
    • Down 58% of the time, with an avg loss of -1.03%
    • Biggest gain 3.44% in 1988
    • Biggest drop -7.45% in 1932
  • 1 Month after Memorial Day:
    • Avg. gain of 1.02%
    • Up 59% of the time, with an avg gain of 4.2%
    • Down 41% of the time, with an avg loss of -3.61%
    • Biggest gain 23% in 1938
    • Biggest drop -17.4% in 1930
  • Memorial Day to Labor Day
    • Avg. gain of 3.7 %
    • Up 68% of the time, with an avg gain of 8.6%
    • Down 32% of the time when it fell an avg. -6.6%
    • Biggest gain 83.02% in 1932
    • Biggest drop -18.5% in 1974

Nasdaq Composite since 1971:

  • Week of Memorial Day:
    • Avg. gain of 0.07%
    • Up 45% of the time, with an avg gain of 1.3%
    • Down 55% of the time, with an avg loss of -0.9%
    • Biggest gain 7.9% in 2000
    • Biggest drop -3.4% in 2001
  • 1 Month after Memorial Day:
    • Avg. gain of 0.88%
    • Up 61% of the time, with an avg gain of 4.3%
    • Down 39% of the time, with an avg loss of -4.4%
    • Biggest gain 21% in 2000
    • Biggest drop -12.2% in 2002
  • Memorial Day to Labor Day:
    • Avg. gain of 1.8%
    • Up 58% of the time, with an avg gain of 9.5%
    • Down 42% of the time, with an avg loss of -8.8%
    • Biggest gain 32.1% in 2000
    • Biggest drop -23.4% in 1974

Have a great summer everyone!

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