×

Take Your Position: American Express

With BofA and Wells citing consumer credit issues, what should you expect from American Express earnings, Thursday?

In a recent research note, FBR Capital Markets analyst Scott Valentin said American Express' credit performance has far exceeded his expectations.

"While we still believe that industry losses will not peak until second quarter of 2010, it appears that American Express has managed to right the ship much faster than peers," he wrote.

Meanwhile, Fox-Pitt Kelton analyst Bill Carcache is also upbeat going in to the results, calling for earnings of 46 cents per share, well above the consensus estimate.

On average, analysts are expecting third-quarter earnings of 37 cents per share on revenue of $5.9 billion, according to a poll by Thomson Reuters. That would compare with a profit of 70 cents a share and revenue of $7.16 billion a year earlier.

If analysts are correct, it would be the eighth straight quarter of profit declines at the company.

What's the credit card trade?

It seems to me valuations for American Express are fair and there’s limited upside, muses JoeTerranova.

In the space I like Mastercard and Visa much better says Credit Suisse analyst Moshe Orenbuch. “They have much broader reach as networks and can process a wider range of transactions.”


______________________________________________________
Got something to to say? Send us an e-mail at fastmoney-web@cnbc.com and your comment might be posted on the Rapid Recap. If you'd prefer to make a comment but not have it published on our website send those e-mails to fastmoney@cnbc.com.

Trader disclosure: On October 21st, 2009, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders; Adami Owns (AGU), (BTU), (C), (GS), (INTC), (MSFT), (NUE); Seymour Owns (DIG), (MSFT), (AAPL), (BAC), (EWZ), (INTC); Najarian Owns (DE) Call Spread; Najarian Owns (STX) Call Spread; Najarian Owns (XLF) Call Spread; Najarian Owns (YHOO), (YHOO) Puts; Terranova Owns December Crude Oil Futures

For Joe Terranova
Terranova Works For (VRTS)
Terranova Is Chief Market Strategist Of Virtus Investment Partners, Ltd.
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLY)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CAL)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CLB)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DLR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (EXR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (IGE)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLB)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DBA)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DBV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (UA)

For Peter Schiff
Schiff Owns Yen & Foreign Currencies
Schiff Owns Gold

For Moshe Orenbuch
(AXP), (COF), (DFS), (MA), (JPM), (C), (BAC) Is Or In Past 12 Months Was A Client Of Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse Provided Investment Banking Services To (AXP), (COF), (DFS), (MA), (JPM), (C), (BAC) In Past 12 Months
Credit Suisse Provided Non-Investment Banking Services To (AXP), (COF), (DFS), (JPM), (C), (BAC) In Past 12 Months
Credit Suisse Has Managed Or Co-Managed A Public Offering Of Securities For (AXP), (COF), (DFS), (JPM), (C), (BAC) In Past 12 Months
Credit Suisse Expects To Receive/Seek Investment Banking Compensation From (AXP), (COF), (DFS), (V), (MA), (JPM), (C), (BAC) In Next 3 Months
Credit Suisse Has Received Non-Investment Banking Compensation From (AXP), (COF), (DFS), (JPM), (C), (BAC) In Past 12 Months
Credit Suisse Is A Market Maker In (MA)
Credit Suisse Owned 1% Or More Of (V) As Of End Of Last Month

For Jim Cramer
Cramer's Charitable Trust Owns (V)
Cramer's Charitable Trust Owns (WFC)
Cramer's Charitable Trust Owns (PPG)
Cramer's Charitable Trust Owns (CVX)


CNBC.com with wires