While everyone else is looking back at the last 12 months, we've got your plays for the twelve months ahead.
What must you know to trade this market? According to the Fast Money traders it's that deal making will likely be the big driver going forward.
Strategy Session with the Fast Money traders
I’m keeping an ear open for M&A chatter, says Pete Najarian. Options activity suggests M&A will continue to drive the market.
It seems to me the S&P 500 wants to go above 1150, muses Joe Terranova. I think it’s just a matter of finding the catalyst. And I agree it will probably be M&A. There's speculation that British bank Barclays is on the prowl for another major acquisition and if it's true it could take us higher.
If you’re bullish on M&A I’d play it with Greenhill , counsels Guy Adami. Or you can look at Jefferies and Lazard .
I'm watching GGP , says Karen Finerman. With Fairholme entering the fray I'm expecting more bidding. And broadly, there's a psychological angle to all this M&A. If one CEO makes an acquisition it makes his peers envious. That, too, could keep the market going.
BREAKING NEWS: PHARMA M&A
In breaking news CNBC’s Mike Huckman explains that M&A is driving the market in the after hours with Abbott Labs inking a deal to acquire Facet Biotech .
And in other Pharma news – Huckman also says InterMune received approval for its drug to treat lung disease; and the FDA approved Allergan’s Botox for a new multiple sclerosis treatment.
If you want to play biotech, I’d do it with Celgene , says Guy Adami.
And elsewhere in the market, if you’re long RIG I’d take profits, adds Adami.
CITI TO LEAD THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
If you added up the share price of Citigroup and AIG a year ago, , you'd have a grand total of a $1.35.
Fast forward a year, and the twin faces of government bailout are surging and leading the market higher.
What’s the trade?
I’m bullish on Citi for the long-term, says Joe Terranova. I expect to see the government exit Citi very gently.
I'm seeing a lot of activity in the March 4 and April 4 Citigroup calls, adds Pete Najarian. My interpretation is that the options market is expecting Citi shares to go much higher.
If you’re looking at AIG you should know there’s huge short interest in the name, says Guy Adami. If I were long, I’d take profits.
Elsewhere in the space, I’d keep an eye on Goldman especially if you’re long, adds Terranova. The action in this name is concerning.
INNOVATION TO DRIVE TECH?
Tech led us from the bottom and continues to lead now. Shares of Apple hit another all-time-high on Tuesday.
But, the question is, will tech defy gravity going forward?
Some tech will, says Guy Adami. I'd keep an eye on Akamai . Yes valuations are rich but I think it's got room to the upside.
I'd put EMC on the radar, says Pete Najarian, as well as QLogic .
CALL OF THE DAY: GOOGLE
Apple may have touched fresh all-time highs, but America’s other favorite growth stock, Google, shed a half percent after analyst Colin Gillis said the stock was basically "dead money."
Gillis pinpointed 4 reasons for this thesis:
- Google's revenues won't be as strong this quarter
- Google’s ad click pricing is on decline
- There appears to be little hope for Google in China
- Microsoft has become a true competitor with Bing.
What’s the trade?
It's dead money until at least summer, Gillis tells the desk.
SCHIFF: WHAT COULD GO WRONG?
Some say the key to the next 12 months of this baby bull market is housing. And in bond land, there may be glimmers of hope.
Prices for Fannie and Freddie debt have nearly reached record levels relative to Treasuries. That suggests more investors find Fannie and Freddie bonds attractive – which in turn, suggests a floor in the space.
Well that’s one interpretation anyway.
Perma-bear Peter Schiff of Euro-Pacific Capital sees the situation rather differently.
What his beef? Watch the video and find out now!