×

Trading the Globe: China

Despite a somewhat dire prediction by Nouriel Roubini, trader Brian Kelly is not worried about a hard landing for China.

As you may know, earlier in the month while speaking in Singapore, Roubini said, "There is a meaningful probability of a hard landing in China after 2013." Roubini was particularly focused on investment, which he said was already 50 percent of gross domestic product. Sixty years of data had shown that over- investment led to hard landings, he said, citing the Soviet Union in the 1960s and 70s, and East Asia before the 1997 financial crisis.

"I was recently in Shanghai and I took their high-speed train to Hangzhou," he said, referring to the new Maglev line that has cut traveling time between the two cities to less than an hour from four hours previously.

"The brand new high-speed train is half-empty and the brand new station is three-quarters empty. Parallel to that train line, there is a also a new highway that looked three-quarters empty. Next to the train station is also the new local airport of Shanghai and you can fly to Hangzhou," he said.

"There is no rationale for a country at that level of economic development to have not just duplication but triplication of those infrastructure projects."

However, trader Brian Kelly sees the situation a little differently. "I don't think China is even close to a hard landing," he says. "I think the economy is reaccelerating."

Check out his argument. Watch the video now!





______________________________________________________
Got something to to say? Send us an e-mail at fastmoney-web@cnbc.com and your comment might be posted on the Rapid Recap. If you'd prefer to make a comment, but not have it published on our Web site, send those e-mails to fastmoney@cnbc.com.


Trader disclosure: On June 22, 2011, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s "Fast Money" were owned by the "Fast Money" traders; Tim Seymour owns (AAPL); Tim Seymour owns (BAC); Adami Owns (AGU); Adami Owns (C); Adami Owns (GS); Adami Owns (INTC); Adami Owns (MSFT); Adami Owns (NUE); Adami Owns (BTU); Terranova Owns (VRTS); Terranova Owns (IBM); Terranova Owns (FCX); Terranova Owns (CVI); Terranova Owns (F); Terranova Owns (AAPL); Terranova Owns (CAT); Terranova Owns (BX); Terranova Owns (HPQ); Terranova Owns (MA); Terranova Owns (PEP); Terranova Owns (MCD); Terranova Owns (JWN); Terranova Owns (TM); Terranova Owns (LULU); Terranova Owns (WFM); Terranova Owns (DAR); Terranova Owns (BJ); Terranova Owns (XOM); Terranova Is Short (DELL); Finerman's Firm Is Short (IWM); Finerman's Firm Is Short (MDY); Finerman's Firm Is Short (SPY); Finerman's Firm Is Long S&P 500 Puts; Finerman's Firm Is Long Russell 2000 Puts; Finerman's Firm And Finerman Own (AAPL); Finerman's Firm Owns (BAC) Leap, Finerman owns (BAC); Finerman’s Firm Owns (JPM) Leap and stock, Finerman owns (JPM); Finerman's Firm Owns (HPQ), (HPQ) Puts; Finerman's Firm Owns (IBM); Finerman’s Firm Owns (NM); Nations Owns (SPY); Nations Is Long Volatility In S&P; Stutland is long US treasuries; Stutland is owns (TLT) and short (TLT) calls; Stutland owns (OIH) and short (OIH) calls; Stutland Owns (BAC); Stutland Owns (GS) Bonds; Stutland Owns (GM); Stutland Owns (GOOG) Bull Option Spread; Stutland Owns (MSFT) Bonds; Stutland Owns (GLD); Stutland Owns Silver Bear Option Spread; Stutland Owns (WMT), Is Short (WMT) Calls; Stutland's Firm Is A Market Maker In (WMT) Futures And Options Holding Positions; Stutland's Firm Is A Market Maker Holding Positions In VIX Futures And Options And VXX Stock And Options And S&P 500 futures and options

For Joe Terranova
Terranova is Chief Market Strategist of Virtus Investment Partners, LTD
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (ABAX)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (AMKR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CCG)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CASS)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (CSVI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (EXR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (FCFS)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (IGE)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (KRC)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (LDR)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (LHO)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (NRCI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (DBV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLB)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLV)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLP)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLY)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLE)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLF)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLI)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLK)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (XLU)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (SUBK)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (WDFC)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of (YDNT)
Virtus Investment Partners Owns More Than 1% Of DOMINO'S PIZZA UK & URL PLC

For Brian Kelly
Accounts Managed By Brian Kelly Capital Are Long the Euro
Accounts Managed By Brian Kelly Capital Own (GLD)
Accounts Managed By Brian Kelly Capital Own (SLV)
Accounts Managed By Brian Kelly Capital Own (VIX) calls
Accounts Managed By Brian Kelly Capital Own (VLO)
Accounts Managed By Brian Kelly Capital Own (WFC)
Accounts Managed By Brian Kelly Capital Own (FCX)
Accounts Managed By Brian Kelly Capital Own (ATW)
Accounts Managed By Brian Kelly Capital Own (JPM)
Accounts Managed By Brian Kelly Capital Are Short the U.S. Dollar

For Gary Shilling
*** No Disclosures

For Dan Greenhaus
*** No Disclosures

For Anthony Scaramucci
SkyBridge Capital Is A Fund Of Funds Manager
Funds Held May Or May Not Own The Recommended Securities
Scaramucci Is One Of 8 National Finance Chairs For Mitt Romney Campaign

For Jesse Eisinger
*** No Disclosures

For David Strasser
Janney Montgomery Scott is a market maker in the securities of WMT
Janney Montgomery Scott is a market maker in the securities of BBY



CNBC.com with wires.