“Under the laws, under the Lisbon treaty, there is technically no way they can,” Gartman said. “But when somebody wants to leave or when somebody is forced to leave, it’s going to happen.”
As a result, Gartman thinks any rally in the euro/U.S. dollar cross should be sold. In just over a week, it went from $1.45 down to $1.34. The euro could bounce back to $1.38 in the next few days, but at that point, it should be sold.
In the long-term, Gartman thinks the euro will continue to fall. By the end of the year, Gartman thinks the euro could fall to $1.25.
Author Stephen Weiss, however, is much more bearish on the euro. In six months to a year from now, he thinks the euro will trade down to par with the dollar. He recommends shorting the euro.
If you think the euro could collapse, Steve Grasso of Stuart Frankel recommends looking at the companies with the most exposure. McDonald’s and Phillip-Van Heusen , for example, are a few names to avoid. Grasso said he has money in a retail hedge fund, which is pulling all of its money out of companies with European exposure and putting it into European shorts.
Speaking of retail, Patty Edwards of Trutina Financial would avoid companies with European exposure. She cited Abercrombie & Fitch as an example.
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Trader disclosure: On Sept. 12, 2011, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s "Fast Money" were owned by the "Fast Money" traders; Jon Najarian owns call spreads in (ANF). Jon Najarian owns call spreads in (AAPL). Jon Najarian owns call spreads in (XOM). Jon Najarian owns (CIGX). Patty Edwards is long (XLK). Steve Cortes is long (JPM). Steve Cortes is long (COP). Steve Cortes is long (QCOM). Steve Cortes is long (AAPL). Steve Cortes is long (NS). Steve Cortes is long (ETP). Steve Cortes is long (X). Steve Cortes is long (TWM). Steve Cortes is long (SDS).
Trutina is long (AMZN)
Trutina is long (AAPL)
Trutina is long (C)
Trutina is long (GOOG)
Trutina is long (MSFT)
Trutina is long (GLD)
Trutina is long (ORCL)
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