If recent months are a guide, you might expect the gradually improving U.S. economic outlook to hurt the dollar, since the greenback has been a sought-after haven from turmoil and an asset to sell when risk appetite revives.
But Thin thinks that will change.
"The U.S. is not wonderful by any means, but it looks relatively good compared to the rest of the world. It's one of the few areas that's growing, and at some point the dollar should be rewarded."
That said, Thin is wary of selling the euro at current levels, noting the large number of short positions on the single currency. So he recommends waiting for a bounce to 1.2900, then selling the euro against the dollar with a stop around 1.3050 and a target of 1.2600 on the way to 1.2000.
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